NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	122		Excitement	4.7 [911]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +21.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Comeback	1.5 [407]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -9.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.03	-0.00	17	76%	0.23	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.23	0.01	0.07	19	79%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	73%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	69%	0.08	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	22	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.05	15	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.18	-0.01	0.12	28	70%	0.14	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	10	87%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	11	36%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	29.3	15.5	22.5	2.7	30.5	125.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +25.6%

PHX +3.4%

MIN -4.5%

PHX +23.8%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	15.5	129.8	119.8	104.0
season	13.5	15.8		112.9	106.2
opponent	15.9	16.0		104.6	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.8	16.5	15.7	17.8	15.6
MIN	16.0	16.3	15.0	11.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	81	84	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-2	11	15.5	16.6	-1.15	14.5	16.0	-1.49
Steve Nash	71	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	3	1	15.8	15.1	0.72	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-4	15	16.0	14.9	1.10	15.4	13.0	2.38
Steven Hunter	46	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	4	-1	16.5	14.8	1.62	13.7	15.6	-1.91
Casey Jacobsen	35	36	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-4	15	14.5	16.3	-1.77	15.3	14.3	0.93
Quentin Richardson	75	77	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	7	-7	15.5	16.2	-0.66	14.7	14.8	-0.18
Joe Johnson	80	81	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	4	-1	15.8	14.6	1.16	14.7	14.8	-0.12
Jake Voskuhl	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	5	-3	14.3	15.7	-1.34	8.3	14.9	-6.57
Jackson Vroman	3	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	8	-9	8.3	15.9	-7.53	9.5	14.8	-5.31
Bo Outlaw	10	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	14	-21	15.8	15.6	0.19	18.1	14.3	3.80

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-4	1	16.0	14.7	1.32	8.0	15.7	-7.71
Michael Olowokandi	20	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-3	-1	13.9	14.9	-0.94	16.1	15.5	0.60
Eddie Griffin	31	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	1	-9	15.8	14.2	1.59	14.9	16.0	-1.07
Fred Hoiberg	16	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	14.2	14.8	-0.54	15.7	15.6	0.07
Troy Hudson	29	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-9	11	15.3	14.4	0.88	16.8	15.1	1.70
Latrell Sprewell	70	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-13	19	13.9	16.8	-2.84	15.7	15.5	0.23
Sam Cassell	66	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	14.4	15.3	-0.92	15.2	16.5	-1.29
Trenton Hassell	52	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-4	1	14.2	15.2	-0.98	15.5	15.8	-0.25
Wally Szczerbiak	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-8	9	15.0	14.0	0.97	16.0	14.7	1.35
Mark Madsen	43	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	8	-23	17.1	12.8	4.30	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Kevin Garnett	83	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-8	9	14.0	18.9	-4.89	15.7	15.0	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
DAL 98, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
LAL 111, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%