inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 90 Excitement2.2 [1283] MVPTyson Chandler (CHI): +4.3%
Chicago Bulls 105 Comeback1.5 [966] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -6.6%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00362%0.0200.002100%0.00
Mario Kasun0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01387%0.002-0.00250%-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.08719%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Tony Battie-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.01367%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.07831%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.02367%-0.001-0.02367%-0.00
Cuttino Mobley-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.120.00-0.081027%-0.022-0.022100%0.01
Steve Francis-0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.031240%-0.041-0.016100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05525%-0.032-0.01250%-0.01
Kelvin Cato-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.000.05859%-0.031-0.02683%0.00
Grant Hill-0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.000.04959%-0.032-0.03967%-0.02
Dwight Howard-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.130.00-0.06942%-0.024-0.05633%-0.02

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.02475%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Eddy Curry0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.00-0.071269%0.076-0.03875%-0.01
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.011362%0.062-0.033100%0.01
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.031362%0.022-0.013100%0.00
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03656%0.022-0.01475%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Frank Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04337%-0.0010.00250%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.03743%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Eric Piatkowski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.011060%0.022-0.03560%-0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.03825%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.532.214.827.51.731.7133.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +33.5%
CHI +4.2%
CHI +8.3%
CHI +2.6%
CHI +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHINBAORLCHINBA
this game14.014.715.590.0104.0104.0
season14.315.1102.9100.1
opponent15.415.598.9105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.113.714.813.314.0
CHI14.714.613.016.714.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeShawn Stevenson2829-0.00-0.500.50-0.4114-294313.414.2-0.8015.614.31.22
Mario Kasun2527-0.01-0.490.49-0.248-233111.514.8-3.2714.714.70.08
Pat Garrity2019-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-2-131113.514.1-0.5913.714.9-1.17
Jameer Nelson3636-0.13-0.370.25-0.368-233113.114.4-1.3015.014.50.54
Stacey Augmon3133-0.13-0.370.24-0.368-233113.714.1-0.4214.814.60.25
Hedo Turkoglu2323-0.17-0.330.160.10-9-6-313.914.0-0.0713.715.0-1.34
Dwight Howard6565-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-4-714.014.0-0.0015.014.10.98
Kelvin Cato4545-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.10-6-9314.113.80.3014.414.9-0.43
Grant Hill6262-0.32-0.18-0.150.23-194-2313.714.4-0.7715.114.01.11
Steve Francis6465-0.37-0.13-0.250.30-238-3114.413.11.3014.515.0-0.54
Cuttino Mobley5655-0.38-0.12-0.250.33-249-3314.813.01.8114.115.4-1.34
Tony Battie4546-0.38-0.12-0.260.18-194-2315.412.82.5614.814.60.18

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kirk Hinrich75750.440.060.38-0.3226-113713.817.2-3.4314.213.40.76
Eddy Curry64660.400.100.31-0.3626-113714.015.9-1.8614.612.81.83
Tyson Chandler40400.300.200.10-0.3221-62712.915.8-2.8714.613.51.05
Antonio Davis67650.260.240.020.44-621-2715.912.23.6914.113.70.35
Andres Nocioni34330.250.250.010.0287113.315.4-2.0514.913.51.40
Luol Deng58590.250.25-0.01-0.2216-11714.514.9-0.3913.914.0-0.05
Chris Duhon49500.240.26-0.010.10510-515.713.72.0014.213.70.46
Ben Gordon60580.240.26-0.030.09510-514.015.7-1.6813.714.3-0.63
Eric Piatkowski990.080.42-0.35-0.01312-914.814.70.1016.113.82.35
Othella Harrington31290.040.46-0.420.36-1126-3715.614.31.3911.415.0-3.60
Adrian Griffin980.000.50-0.500.26-924-3320.914.16.8110.214.3-4.04
Frank Williams980.000.50-0.500.26-924-3320.914.16.8110.214.3-4.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 98, BOS 1280.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
CLE 74, MIA 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
NYK 78, SEA 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%