NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	7.7 [317]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +23.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	91		Comeback	1.2 [554]		LVP	Jason Hart (CHA): -24.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.24	0.06	0.17	-0.01	19	60%	0.26	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.02
Kaniel Dickens	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	2	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.02	8	89%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	77%	0.06	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Jabari Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06
Nenad Krstic	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	-0.06	4	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	9	22%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	10	37%	-0.08	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	19	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	65%	0.11	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	53%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	12	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.10	0.00	5	35%	-0.13	3	-0.11	7	29%	-0.12
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.13	0.01	9	21%	-0.21	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.7	32.5	15.5	31.2	1.7	39.3	143.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +19.3%

NJN +26.5%

NJN +3.6%

NJN +4.5%

CHA -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHA	NBA	NJN	CHA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.5	98.9	95.8	104.0
season	16.0	15.5		99.2	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		105.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.0	13.3	15.3	14.8	14.4
CHA	16.0	18.0	14.1	15.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	61	63	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.27	15	-12	27	13.3	16.4	-3.09	16.1	15.6	0.58
Jason Collins	72	74	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-3	9	14.0	15.4	-1.35	16.6	13.7	2.93
Richard Jefferson	81	82	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-4	11	14.4	13.9	0.52	15.9	16.5	-0.60
Jacque Vaughn	66	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.51	-4	7	-11	14.4	14.2	0.18	15.8	16.2	-0.32
Nenad Krstic	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	-3	9	13.3	16.0	-2.72	15.9	16.0	-0.09
Kaniel Dickens	21	20	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.07	4	-1	5	16.4	13.8	2.58	16.2	15.9	0.32
Brian Scalabrine	57	54	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.39	-8	11	-19	15.6	12.5	3.16	15.7	16.3	-0.56
Jabari Smith	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	4	-5	17.5	14.1	3.42	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Rodney Buford	51	51	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.03	-10	13	-23	14.4	14.3	0.14	15.5	16.5	-0.94

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	34	35	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.19	12	-15	27	15.9	16.0	-0.06	16.4	13.2	3.26
Melvin Ely	5	6	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.11	8	-11	19	17.0	15.9	1.11	22.5	13.8	8.68
Kareem Rush	51	54	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.35	16	-19	35	15.3	16.7	-1.37	15.7	12.6	3.14
Jamal Sampson	31	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-8	13	15.5	16.2	-0.74	16.4	13.3	3.06
Theron Smith	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	0	-3	15.2	16.0	-0.79	11.8	14.5	-2.71
Jason Hart	59	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.52	13	-16	29	16.1	15.8	0.27	15.2	13.0	2.20
Steven Smith	39	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.41	7	-10	17	16.2	15.8	0.35	15.6	13.6	2.02
Brevin Knight	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	13	-29	15.8	16.1	-0.27	13.0	15.2	-2.20
Primoz Brezec	46	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	12	-27	15.7	16.1	-0.40	12.6	16.0	-3.45
Emeka Okafor	64	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	5	-13	16.2	15.5	0.74	13.3	16.4	-3.06
Keith Bogans	42	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.06	-17	14	-31	16.5	15.5	0.91	12.7	15.5	-2.84
Gerald Wallace	63	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.22	-17	14	-31	16.1	15.6	0.58	13.1	16.8	-3.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 86, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.1,0.23,0.26,0	93.1%
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	92.9%
NJN 95, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.35,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	92.7%