inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 83 Excitement5.0 [861] MVPRobert Horry (SAS): +10.7%
New Orleans Hornets 67 Comeback1.9 [327] LVPJunior Harrington (NOH): -17.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.03-0.01764%0.1100.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.03867%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Manu Ginobili0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01759%0.051-0.02367%-0.01
Tony Parker0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.00-0.01-0.021050%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brent Barry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.00644%-0.0000.00475%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01442%-0.0200.00425%-0.03
Tony Massenburg-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00233%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Tim Duncan-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.01-0.031843%-0.021-0.02837%-0.07
Rasho Nesterovic-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.02636%-0.032-0.05250%-0.00
Devin Brown-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.00312%-0.072-0.07250%-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Brown0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.011064%0.082-0.04580%-0.00
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.02-0.032150%0.072-0.072100%0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.021338%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Lonny Baxter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Matt Freije0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
George Lynch0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.01367%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Dan Dickau0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.02739%-0.013-0.08475%0.01
Junior Harrington0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.14-0.06-0.02911%-0.141-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.31.828.515.627.81.728.6128.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +27.8%
NOH -8.0%
SAS +12.2%
SAS +14.7%
SAS +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNOHNBASASNOHNBA
this game18.418.115.5105.184.8104.0
season16.316.5105.897.7
opponent15.715.6105.298.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.817.317.521.118.4
NOH19.219.616.017.718.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brent Barry26260.56-0.060.630.0418-22018.318.4-0.0717.818.2-0.32
Manu Ginobili59560.490.010.480.111331018.218.9-0.6817.320.0-2.67
Tim Duncan55560.470.030.440.091331019.316.23.1418.217.60.64
Beno Udrih32300.360.140.220.04115618.718.10.6017.218.6-1.34
Tony Parker59610.230.27-0.03-0.12124818.617.90.6618.616.32.31
Robert Horry35340.200.30-0.100.02610-418.318.5-0.1917.218.7-1.51
Rasho Nesterovic30300.130.37-0.24-0.1188018.818.20.6017.618.4-0.80
Tony Massenburg12120.110.39-0.27-0.06610-417.318.6-1.2520.417.62.77
Bruce Bowen41430.100.40-0.29-0.01412-818.618.20.3519.016.92.06
Malik Rose26260.090.41-0.320.12-117-1816.619.3-2.7118.318.00.31
Devin Brown2021-0.250.75-1.000.04-1026-3617.518.7-1.1318.118.00.11

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
George Lynch2424-0.03-0.470.44-0.092-182017.018.5-1.5319.018.10.81
Lonny Baxter77-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-12818.718.00.7118.318.4-0.12
Matt Freije3030-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-11618.317.90.4417.918.7-0.74
Dan Dickau4546-0.21-0.290.08-0.00-7-9218.417.60.7818.718.00.73
Chris Andersen3132-0.25-0.25-0.000.13-13-3-1017.818.2-0.4816.519.7-3.18
David Wesley6565-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.08-6-10417.918.9-0.9618.418.10.30
J.R. Smith2020-0.29-0.21-0.090.03-11-5-619.617.52.0617.118.8-1.66
P.J. Brown6968-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.17-8-8018.018.6-0.6118.418.10.35
Lee Nailon6362-0.500.00-0.51-0.01-171-1818.516.42.0418.518.10.43
Junior Harrington6160-0.590.09-0.680.05-226-2818.018.2-0.2119.016.42.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 93, PHI 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,095.4%
CLE 115, WAS 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0.01,095.0%
UTA 96, BOS 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.34,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%