NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	4.9 [877]		MVP	Earl Watson (MEM): +22.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	1.2 [1024]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -16.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Tim Thomas	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	15	40%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	18	42%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	35%	-0.08	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.02	-0.05	12	30%	-0.07	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.05	0.01	10	96%	0.23	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.02	0.02	13	77%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	4	87%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	13	48%	-0.02	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	36.0	15.6	25.3	2.5	30.6	136.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +69.4%

NYK -8.8%

NYK -10.7%

NYK -1.1%

MEM +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MEM	NBA	NYK	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	16.2	15.5	101.1	107.9	104.0
season	15.8	16.4		103.9	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		101.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	14.8	19.8	16.5	16.6
MEM	16.3	16.5	15.4	16.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	35	36	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.21	15	-23	38	16.5	16.6	-0.15	16.5	15.9	0.58
Moochie Norris	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-6	4	17.1	16.2	0.84	14.8	16.9	-2.13
Jerome Williams	25	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-13	18	16.6	16.5	0.09	15.7	16.3	-0.66
Trevor Ariza	36	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-4	0	18.2	15.4	2.86	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Jamal Crawford	62	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.05	-10	2	-12	16.0	17.9	-1.89	16.6	15.0	1.58
Tim Thomas	61	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	16.0	18.0	-2.09	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Stephon Marbury	55	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-4	0	16.4	16.9	-0.57	17.1	14.5	2.57
Nazr Mohammed	67	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	6	-20	16.0	18.4	-2.37	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Kurt Thomas	60	62	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.12	-20	12	-32	17.3	15.0	2.34	16.0	16.6	-0.68

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	46	44	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-8	24	16.7	15.6	1.16	16.6	16.5	0.12
Mike Miller	58	57	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-2	12	16.5	15.5	1.03	15.6	18.4	-2.74
Pau Gasol	69	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.15	13	-5	18	16.1	16.3	-0.18	16.2	17.8	-1.55
Earl Watson	55	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-1	10	15.9	16.6	-0.65	16.5	16.6	-0.07
Lorenzen Wright	34	36	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	-7	22	16.3	16.1	0.22	16.0	17.0	-0.98
Jake Tsakalidis	33	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	6	-4	15.8	16.3	-0.49	17.9	15.8	2.16
Bonzi Wells	30	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	9	-10	15.6	16.5	-0.89	18.1	15.8	2.34
Antonio Burks	34	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	9	-10	16.6	15.9	0.65	16.6	16.5	0.07
James Posey	49	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	19	-30	15.9	16.5	-0.62	16.2	17.0	-0.82
Stromile Swift	37	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.21	-12	20	-32	16.0	16.3	-0.32	17.3	16.1	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 108, OKC 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CHI 90, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
ATL 90, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%