NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Excitement	7.8 [308]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +11.2%
Dallas Mavericks	82		Comeback	77.1 [8]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): -39.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01	-0.09	0.07	-0.03	14	55%	0.12	5	-0.11	10	70%	0.13
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08	-0.10	0.02	-0.00	10	43%	0.06	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	46%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	14	53%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27	-0.11	-0.13	0.03	13	32%	-0.18	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	18	55%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	8	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.06
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.11	-0.02	17	41%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.2,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.10	-0.01	18	29%	-0.15	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.39	-0.39	-0.13	-0.27	-0.01	9	19%	-0.37	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	25.3	15.8	30.1	1.7	32.1	130.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +35.2%

MIN +37.5%

MIN +1.2%

DAL -30.1%

MIN +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.8	15.5	88.3	86.3	104.0
season	15.8	14.9		106.2	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.3	15.4	11.8	15.5	14.6
DAL	15.7	13.4	16.5	18.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	57	58	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.52	12	-11	23	15.0	14.0	1.01	16.9	14.2	2.73
Kevin Garnett	78	79	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.51	5	-4	9	14.4	15.7	-1.34	15.9	15.3	0.62
Michael Olowokandi	31	32	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	-2	5	14.1	14.9	-0.76	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Fred Hoiberg	28	27	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	-13	27	15.0	14.5	0.57	17.2	15.3	1.89
Anthony Carter	1	1	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	1	-1	0.0	14.8	-14.80	5.0	15.9	-10.95
Wally Szczerbiak	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.31	-5	6	-11	13.5	15.9	-2.35	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Latrell Sprewell	66	68	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.55	-13	14	-27	14.5	15.0	-0.57	15.3	17.2	-1.89
Troy Hudson	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.22	12	-11	23	15.6	13.9	1.71	17.1	14.9	2.20
Sam Cassell	54	55	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.38	-11	12	-23	14.2	15.2	-1.06	15.1	16.8	-1.72
Mark Madsen	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	3	-5	15.3	14.6	0.72	12.1	16.3	-4.17
Eddie Griffin	38	37	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.30	3	-2	5	16.5	13.4	3.08	16.3	15.5	0.76
Ervin Johnson	17	18	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	14	-27	14.0	14.8	-0.78	14.0	16.3	-2.26

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	51	52	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-8	15	14.8	17.0	-2.13	14.5	14.8	-0.22
Shawn Bradley	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-1	1	36.0	15.6	20.38	0.0	14.6	-14.64
Erick Dampier	64	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-5	9	15.0	17.5	-2.40	14.3	15.3	-0.97
Marquis Daniels	86	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.50	9	-10	19	15.9	15.2	0.67	14.4	16.6	-2.26
Jason Terry	29	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	11	-23	17.0	15.3	1.68	16.1	14.0	2.12
Alan Henderson	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	5	-11	16.3	15.4	0.91	15.7	13.6	2.10
Josh Howard	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.49	4	-5	9	16.2	14.3	1.94	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Devin Harris	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.56	3	-4	7	15.4	17.1	-1.69	13.9	16.8	-2.89
Jerry Stackhouse	54	53	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.41	-14	13	-27	16.2	15.3	0.86	15.0	14.2	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.72,0.85,0.58,0	90.4%
DET 83, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.76,0.71,0	89.4%
NYK 85, ORL 84	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.92,0	89.4%