NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	3.0 [1205]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +7.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	82		Comeback	1.1 [553]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -12.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	5	94%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.04	18	68%	0.10	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	6	86%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	78%	0.03	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	78%	0.02	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	47%	-0.01	2	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jason Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	31%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	0.01	-0.02	10	43%	0.00	6	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	79%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Geno Carlisle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	5	44%	-0.02	2	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	10	35%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	17	38%	-0.08	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	29.4	15.3	29.3	1.8	29.0	129.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +45.0%

MEM +1.2%

MEM +5.3%

POR -3.2%

MEM +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	16.5	15.5	112.2	92.1	104.0
season	16.4	15.8		103.7	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.4	14.8	16.7	16.7	15.6
POR	16.2	19.8	18.4	12.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	56	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.33	28	-9	37	15.8	15.4	0.33	18.5	13.5	5.03
Pau Gasol	47	46	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	-3	25	16.2	15.0	1.23	18.3	14.6	3.74
Jason Williams	44	43	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	11	-3	17.2	14.2	3.01	16.8	16.3	0.58
Shane Battier	47	45	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.36	25	-6	31	15.0	16.3	-1.35	19.0	14.0	4.93
Lorenzen Wright	51	50	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.43	27	-8	35	15.2	16.3	-1.08	18.5	14.0	4.52
Stromile Swift	31	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	22	-25	16.8	15.0	1.77	15.1	17.3	-2.26
Mike Miller	34	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	16	-13	15.9	15.5	0.34	15.4	17.2	-1.82
Earl Watson	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.25	11	8	3	14.2	17.2	-3.01	16.3	16.8	-0.58
Brian Cardinal	38	38	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.15	7	12	-5	14.4	16.6	-2.16	15.6	17.3	-1.72
Dahntay Jones	34	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.27	-9	28	-37	15.4	15.8	-0.33	13.5	18.5	-5.03
Jake Tsakalidis	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	34	-49	17.4	15.4	2.04	8.9	17.8	-8.92
Ryan Humphrey	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	28	-37	16.6	15.5	1.07	9.4	17.4	-8.04

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	21	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-31	43	10.0	18.6	-8.56	17.2	15.2	2.08
Geno Carlisle	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	11.3	16.7	-5.39	20.0	15.4	4.56
Sebastian Telfair	30	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-23	27	13.3	18.2	-4.84	15.9	15.5	0.42
Joel Przybilla	33	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-30	41	12.0	19.2	-7.26	16.3	15.3	1.09
Darius Miles	52	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-17	15	15.5	18.0	-2.55	14.8	16.8	-2.03
Nick Van Exel	31	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.27	-14	-5	-9	19.3	15.1	4.27	13.2	17.0	-3.81
Ruben Patterson	39	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-14	9	16.2	16.8	-0.69	14.4	16.7	-2.30
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-6	-7	16.9	16.2	0.69	16.2	15.1	1.04
Damon Stoudamire	48	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-3	-13	17.4	15.5	1.90	15.8	15.4	0.39
Theo Ratliff	40	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	0	-19	19.5	14.1	5.33	16.7	14.8	1.89
Derek Anderson	48	51	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	5	-29	18.7	14.0	4.75	16.2	14.9	1.27
Zach Randolph	56	59	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.30	-29	10	-39	18.4	13.4	5.00	15.5	15.9	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
UTA 122, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
POR 93, SAS 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%