NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	5.1 [842]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +25.0%
New Orleans Hornets	84		Comeback	1.8 [358]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (PHX): -13.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.09	-0.03	16	68%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	22	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	18	56%	-0.04
Steve Nash	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	73%	0.17	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	64%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	10	20%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	17	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	16	56%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	12	42%	-0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	23.7	15.8	23.5	2.5	28.3	117.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.8%

PHX +6.2%

NOH -16.2%

PHX +12.2%

PHX +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOH	NBA	PHX	NOH	NBA
this game	15.2	19.0	15.5	113.1	100.0	104.0
season	13.5	16.5		112.9	97.7
opponent	15.7	16.0		105.2	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.1	13.4	14.3	18.4	15.2
NOH	19.2	19.4	21.0	16.7	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	79	82	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-4	19	15.2	16.4	-1.24	18.8	30.5	-11.73
Casey Jacobsen	45	44	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	16.1	14.3	1.78	20.4	17.5	2.86
Joe Johnson	70	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	3	5	15.1	16.0	-0.91	18.8	20.4	-1.58
Steven Hunter	33	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	2	7	16.2	14.6	1.55	17.8	19.8	-2.02
Shawn Marion	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	8	-5	15.9	12.3	3.62	18.7	20.9	-2.21
Steve Nash	63	63	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	3	5	14.5	17.5	-2.98	19.0	19.2	-0.25
Quentin Richardson	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	7	-3	14.4	16.7	-2.27	19.2	18.7	0.54
Jake Voskuhl	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	12	-13	14.4	15.3	-0.88	24.9	18.5	6.34

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	31	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-14	17	17.0	20.3	-3.30	16.7	14.4	2.28
Junior Harrington	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-10	9	9.5	19.3	-9.78	37.0	15.0	22.02
J.R. Smith	16	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-9	7	16.2	19.7	-3.46	15.3	15.2	0.07
George Lynch	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-5	-1	20.0	18.0	2.05	13.9	16.7	-2.89
P.J. Brown	54	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-10	9	19.2	18.8	0.39	14.5	16.7	-2.22
Alex Garcia	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-4	-3	18.5	19.3	-0.79	16.5	14.5	1.97
Darrell Armstrong	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-7	3	19.3	18.5	0.79	14.5	16.5	-1.97
David West	28	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-2	-7	19.5	18.8	0.62	16.0	14.9	1.09
Lee Nailon	35	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	18.5	19.4	-0.87	16.9	14.0	2.92
David Wesley	73	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-6	1	19.3	17.3	2.04	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	53	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	3	-17	20.3	17.0	3.30	14.4	16.7	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.5%
BOS 110, BKN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
CLE 94, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%