NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	5.9 [682]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (SEA): +25.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	3.9 [176]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -18.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.10	-0.03	10	83%	0.27	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.01	-0.03	16	62%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	18	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.12	-0.04	0.09	24	67%	0.10	4	-0.11	7	86%	-0.00
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0	100%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	3	22%	-0.05	2	-0.07	3	0%	-0.04
Luke Ridnour	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	6	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	48%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	4	64%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	69%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	9	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.08	0.04	26	45%	-0.14	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	25.5	15.4	26.3	1.7	31.0	129.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +49.9%

PHI -4.3%

SEA +14.2%

PHI -14.6%

SEA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHI	NBA	SEA	PHI	NBA
this game	17.0	13.3	15.5	108.4	100.0	104.0
season	16.5	13.9		109.5	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.8	15.0	18.8	18.7	17.0
PHI	13.6	13.2	14.8	11.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	66	65	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.29	17	-9	26	16.2	18.8	-2.66	13.0	14.1	-1.12
Antonio Daniels	66	66	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	1	6	16.3	18.5	-2.16	12.4	15.4	-2.99
Danny Fortson	29	28	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	-1	10	16.4	17.2	-0.86	12.1	13.9	-1.79
Ray Allen	87	87	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	1	6	16.8	19.4	-2.62	13.7	9.5	4.19
Rashard Lewis	80	80	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	3	2	17.0	16.7	0.29	13.4	13.2	0.16
Luke Ridnour	52	53	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	8	-8	17.7	16.1	1.62	13.9	12.7	1.20
Nick Collison	12	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	9	-10	15.7	17.2	-1.50	13.5	13.3	0.23
Reggie Evans	64	64	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.02	-1	9	-10	17.7	15.6	2.08	13.6	12.8	0.74
Jerome James	19	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	11	-14	20.4	16.1	4.24	15.4	12.8	2.61

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	65	63	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.32	16	-24	40	12.2	15.7	-3.45	17.7	15.6	2.14
Marc Jackson	38	35	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-6	4	14.5	12.6	1.89	17.7	16.6	1.12
Brian Skinner	5	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-6	4	17.6	13.1	4.50	13.4	17.2	-3.78
Josh Davis	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-13	18	10.3	13.9	-3.65	20.7	16.2	4.53
Andre Iguodala	43	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-2	-4	13.6	13.1	0.45	17.6	16.4	1.19
Kenny Thomas	53	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-2	-4	14.4	12.0	2.48	17.7	16.1	1.53
Corliss Williamson	27	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	12.9	13.5	-0.63	13.4	18.4	-4.99
Allen Iverson	80	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	1	-10	13.2	13.9	-0.63	17.0	16.8	0.23
Samuel Dalembert	52	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-4	0	12.1	14.8	-2.74	16.9	17.1	-0.30
John Salmons	55	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.23	-12	4	-16	13.5	13.1	0.41	16.8	17.3	-0.47
Willie Green	42	42	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	5	-18	14.7	12.2	2.51	15.4	18.2	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 106, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.56,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
CHA 97, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.38,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	93.0%
LAC 118, LAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%