NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	109		Excitement	5.3 [804]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +19.7%
Denver Nuggets	117		Comeback	1.0 [1224]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): -10.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.01	6	107%	0.18	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.01	-0.03	-0.07	16	68%	0.17	5	-0.11	5	60%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	57%	-0.01	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Lindsey Hunter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	7	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.03	-0.02	15	84%	0.29	4	-0.09	8	100%	0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	20	68%	0.15	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.04
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.04	10	65%	0.16	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	36.1	19.7	28.4	3.6	55.5	173.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +16.4%

DEN +5.6%

DET -3.8%

DEN +26.6%

DEN +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	DEN	NBA	DET	DEN	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.5	111.2	121.9	104.0
season	16.7	14.8		103.5	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.3	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.5	14.4	15.9	12.2	14.9
DEN	16.8	13.8	13.4	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	72	72	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.32	9	-17	26	14.0	17.2	-3.11	15.2	13.8	1.32
Darvin Ham	25	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-6	4	11.8	15.9	-4.12	12.5	15.5	-3.07
Elden Campbell	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-14	20	16.1	14.2	1.84	17.5	13.4	4.01
Tayshaun Prince	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-8	8	14.7	15.0	-0.32	16.2	13.0	3.22
Lindsey Hunter	38	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-4	0	15.0	14.8	0.26	15.0	14.7	0.24
Chauncey Billups	61	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-2	-4	14.5	15.4	-0.91	14.8	14.8	0.04
Carlos Delfino	42	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	3	-14	14.8	14.9	-0.14	12.4	16.6	-4.16
Richard Hamilton	80	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	15.2	13.3	1.88	14.7	15.2	-0.43
Derrick Coleman	34	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	4	-16	15.6	14.5	1.19	12.7	15.9	-3.25
Rasheed Wallace	50	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	7	-22	16.2	13.5	2.76	15.5	14.1	1.36

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-7	22	15.1	14.3	0.76	16.5	12.2	4.22
Carmelo Anthony	80	82	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	5	-2	14.7	15.2	-0.51	15.0	14.1	0.89
Rodney White	55	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	6	-4	14.8	14.9	-0.14	15.0	14.7	0.31
Greg Buckner	41	43	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	-7	22	12.4	16.6	-4.20	15.1	14.7	0.36
DerMarr Johnson	15	16	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-3	14	18.0	14.2	3.77	17.9	14.3	3.67
Earl Boykins	67	68	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.29	-1	9	-10	15.5	13.3	2.17	14.1	16.6	-2.55
Marcus Camby	32	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	2	4	14.9	14.8	0.08	16.4	14.0	2.41
Andre Miller	73	73	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	13	-18	14.9	14.7	0.22	13.7	18.4	-4.69
Francisco Elson	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	10	-12	14.4	15.1	-0.70	12.8	16.5	-3.62
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	14	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	12	-16	15.6	14.7	0.96	14.9	14.9	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, LAC 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHH 67, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
UTA 91, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%