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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 92 Excitement11.3 [31] MVPKenyon Martin (DEN): +22.7%
Denver Nuggets 94 Comeback2.3 [775] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -56.0%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trenton Hassell0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.020.01889%0.1400.00333%-0.07
Kevin Garnett0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05-0.080.11-0.011756%0.265-0.211182%0.11
Wally Szczerbiak0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.040.00771%0.0300.0000%0.00
Fred Hoiberg0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.041-0.0500%0.00
Michael Olowokandi-0.130,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.060.011233%-0.101-0.0300%0.00
Troy Hudson-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16-0.04-0.13-0.001045%-0.102-0.0700%0.00
Sam Cassell-0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.18-0.06-0.021421%-0.173-0.0400%0.00
Latrell Sprewell-0.460,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.46-0.09-0.360.011242%-0.222-0.24771%-0.04

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.23-0.010.23-0.001464%0.415-0.1800%0.00
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.09,0.170.17-0.060.16-0.071442%0.241-0.07560%0.07
Marcus Camby0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.070.00750%0.0700.002100%0.06
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00371%0.0300.001100%0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.020.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.05-0.120.002142%-0.141-0.033100%0.01
Rodney White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.19-0.190.02-0.200.00856%-0.161-0.0300%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.35,-0.47,-0.47,-0.51,-0.56,-0.56,-0.56-0.56-0.25-0.33-0.022532%-0.353-0.211080%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.63.027.519.028.63.041.22.416.1165.4
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN -2.5%
DEN +13.6%
DEN +20.6%
DEN +18.8%
MIN -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game15.417.115.592.996.9104.0
season15.814.8106.2103.8
opponent15.615.9102.3104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIN15.016.914.416.113.515.4
DEN19.415.115.016.624.017.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trenton Hassell67690.16-0.660.82-0.088-101814.716.9-2.2017.615.81.73
Mark Madsen29240.13-0.630.750.043-5815.415.40.0517.017.1-0.07
Troy Hudson47450.04-0.540.57-0.3212-142614.416.4-2.0019.115.33.80
Fred Hoiberg2525-0.23-0.270.05-0.17-20-216.814.91.8515.817.5-1.74
Kevin Garnett8686-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.391-3414.720.0-5.2817.612.74.88
Latrell Sprewell8077-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.411-3414.817.8-3.0017.415.81.51
Michael Olowokandi6766-0.510.01-0.51-0.12-1311-2416.812.44.4016.318.7-2.44
Sam Cassell5252-0.540.04-0.57-0.13-1412-2616.414.42.0015.319.1-3.80
Wally Szczerbiak4241-0.810.31-1.11-0.63-64-1016.015.00.9316.517.4-0.89

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony86880.71-0.210.920.3612-102216.521.5-4.9715.515.00.47
Andre Miller72730.480.020.470.4611017.416.21.2014.518.0-3.56
Earl Boykins68680.420.080.330.50-35-817.516.11.4015.714.80.84
Rodney White32340.260.240.010.32-24-616.817.2-0.3116.314.91.39
DerMarr Johnson27300.210.29-0.08-0.0910-81815.117.8-2.6417.814.43.38
Kenyon Martin77780.170.33-0.170.083-1416.419.6-3.2715.813.82.04
Marcus Camby6970-0.030.53-0.57-0.0611016.318.8-2.4915.914.31.61
Greg Buckner2422-0.050.55-0.600.12-68-1418.416.61.8111.516.5-4.97
Francisco Elson2224-0.150.65-0.810.08-810-1820.216.14.0514.515.7-1.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.85,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 86, CHA 870.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,190.3%
NYK 85, CLE 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.74,189.9%
MIN 102, SEA 1070.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.53,0.79,0.83,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.87,189.4%