NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	4.6 [888]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (DAL): +5.3%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	1.3 [424]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -11.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.05	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	16	58%	0.11	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Danny Fortson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	15	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	10	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.00	0.10	13	69%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	63%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.04
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.06	5	60%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	14	43%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	32%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.4	31.6	18.3	27.7	2.8	36.2	143.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +17.6%

DAL +8.4%

HOU -6.8%

DAL +30.2%

DAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	16.5	15.7	95.8	93.7	100.5
season	14.6	16.5		109.2	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		97.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	13.7	12.4	14.7	13.7
HOU	16.1	16.3	19.7	14.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	96	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	13.7	0.0	13.71	16.5	0.0	16.46
Michael Finley	83	83	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	1	1	14.1	10.9	3.22	16.6	15.7	0.82
Antoine Walker	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-9	21	14.0	13.5	0.42	16.8	16.2	0.56
Steve Nash	38	39	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	-6	15	13.6	13.8	-0.13	18.4	15.1	3.26
Eduardo Najera	29	26	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	3	-3	11.2	14.8	-3.63	14.3	17.3	-2.97
Antawn Jamison	58	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.42	-6	9	-15	13.8	13.6	0.13	15.1	18.4	-3.26
Tony Delk	41	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.42	-8	11	-19	12.8	14.4	-1.58	15.1	17.4	-2.26
Dirk Nowitzki	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-2	7	13.7	13.7	0.03	17.5	15.5	2.02
Danny Fortson	12	13	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	1	1	17.2	13.2	4.05	20.2	15.9	4.36
Scott Williams	13	13	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	0	3	13.4	13.8	-0.37	17.5	16.3	1.25
Shawn Bradley	25	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	10	-17	14.7	13.4	1.37	15.5	16.8	-1.27

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	39	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-2	1	17.3	15.9	1.48	13.7	13.7	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-7	11	14.9	17.4	-2.50	14.6	13.2	1.44
Mike Wilks	49	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.45	8	-11	19	16.4	16.5	-0.16	13.3	14.2	-0.93
Scott Padgett	65	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-8	13	15.4	18.8	-3.46	13.5	14.3	-0.81
Clar. Weatherspoon	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-6	9	15.9	17.0	-1.10	14.2	13.2	0.98
Jim Jackson	60	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	4	-11	17.4	14.9	2.50	13.2	14.6	-1.44
Yao Ming	42	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	10	-23	17.7	15.5	2.20	13.1	14.2	-1.06
Mark Jackson	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	8	-19	17.0	15.7	1.25	14.0	13.3	0.72
Bostjan Nachbar	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	0	-3	16.3	17.2	-0.94	14.0	12.5	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 112, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
PHI 116, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	95.1%
POR 113, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%