NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	80		Excitement	4.9 [827]		MVP	Al Harrington (IND): +13.5%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	1.2 [952]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -16.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	4	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.01
Brandon Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.05	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	8	55%	0.02	7	-0.19	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	12	71%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	15	56%	0.12	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	9	39%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	17	59%	0.03	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	33.5	0.2	29.2	3.7	28.2	123.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +4.8%

IND +15.3%

IND +4.9%

IND +25.1%

NJN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	17.4	16.9	15.7	95.2	107.1	100.5
season	15.3	16.7		98.1	101.1
opponent	15.7	16.2		94.7	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	19.3	16.6	16.7	17.3	17.4
IND	17.7	16.9	15.3	17.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tamar Slay	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	15.3	17.5	-2.14	20.7	16.8	3.91
Jason Collins	63	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-10	10	18.1	15.4	2.68	17.8	14.3	3.48
Lucious Harris	51	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-5	0	17.8	16.7	1.15	17.8	15.5	2.34
Kerry Kittles	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-5	0	17.8	16.6	1.23	17.8	15.1	2.68
Brandon Armstrong	28	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-5	0	16.6	17.8	-1.23	15.1	17.8	-2.68
Rodney Rogers	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-4	-2	18.2	15.9	2.32	17.4	15.9	1.54
Brian Scalabrine	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-6	2	16.2	19.5	-3.33	17.0	16.7	0.25
Zoran Planinic	33	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-5	0	16.7	17.8	-1.15	15.5	17.8	-2.34
Aaron Williams	21	21	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	0	-10	15.4	18.1	-2.68	14.3	17.8	-3.48
Richard Jefferson	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	3	-16	17.8	16.4	1.40	16.1	18.6	-2.50

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	58	57	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-4	18	16.1	18.6	-2.49	16.6	19.0	-2.31
Jamaal Tinsley	45	46	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.18	12	-2	14	17.1	16.6	0.47	18.3	16.3	1.92
Jermaine O'Neal	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	-3	16	15.7	19.7	-3.97	17.8	16.3	1.54
Reggie Miller	46	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-2	14	16.9	16.8	0.09	18.6	15.8	2.73
Fred Jones	34	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	10	-10	16.8	16.9	-0.12	16.0	18.3	-2.30
Metta World Peace	61	63	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	6	-2	17.4	15.7	1.71	17.3	17.6	-0.30
Jeff Foster	53	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	4	2	18.1	14.8	3.31	18.5	15.6	2.96
Austin Croshere	16	16	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	13	-16	19.6	16.3	3.30	16.4	17.6	-1.18
Anthony Johnson	40	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	14	-18	16.6	17.1	-0.51	16.3	18.3	-1.92
Jonathan Bender	8	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	14	-18	14.4	17.2	-2.78	13.2	17.8	-4.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
HOU 106, GSW 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
SEA 89, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%