NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	111		Excitement	4.3 [945]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +12.4%
Phoenix Suns	96		Comeback	1.2 [501]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -19.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	12	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	-0.01	-0.05	10	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	20	69%	0.09	3	-0.06	12	92%	0.02
Michael Doleac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	70%	0.05	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	9	47%	0.01	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nene	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.02	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.02	6	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	0.04	10	80%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	3	64%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	0.05	16	58%	-0.01	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.29	-0.01	-0.10	16	40%	-0.07	8	-0.12	15	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	29.3	14.5	27.2	2.0	34.2	133.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +23.6%

DEN +4.5%

DEN +5.3%

DEN +15.7%

DEN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	13.6	15.7	111.0	96.0	100.5
season	14.9	14.6		101.6	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.4		103.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.2	14.7	15.3	16.5	15.2
PHX	14.6	15.9	12.4	11.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-7	29	14.8	16.5	-1.68	13.7	13.3	0.43
Andre Miller	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	2	11	14.9	15.9	-1.06	14.2	12.2	2.01
Nene	56	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.07	14	1	13	14.0	16.7	-2.75	14.8	12.0	2.74
Carmelo Anthony	79	81	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	4	7	15.1	15.7	-0.66	13.8	12.7	1.08
Voshon Lenard	55	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	6	3	15.6	14.7	0.95	13.1	14.3	-1.26
Earl Boykins	52	51	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	8	-1	15.7	14.6	1.17	12.4	14.9	-2.57
Jon Barry	51	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	6	3	15.3	15.1	0.21	13.5	13.7	-0.16
Rodney White	23	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	15	-15	15.7	15.0	0.71	12.4	13.9	-1.50
Chris Andersen	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	12	-9	16.4	15.0	1.37	14.6	13.5	1.16
Michael Doleac	23	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.30	-13	28	-41	17.1	14.6	2.46	12.7	13.9	-1.24

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	42	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	12.3	14.6	-2.24	16.7	14.1	2.63
Antonio McDyess	50	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-9	3	14.3	12.9	1.34	15.4	15.0	0.37
Leandro Barbosa	66	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-8	1	12.9	14.9	-1.97	16.5	12.3	4.19
Casey Jacobsen	72	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-11	7	13.1	14.9	-1.73	15.2	15.2	0.02
Maciej Lampe	27	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.18	-20	5	-25	15.8	12.8	2.97	12.3	16.1	-3.83
Zarko Cabarkapa	51	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	3	-21	14.7	12.5	2.24	13.1	17.2	-4.01
Joe Johnson	98	98	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	13.8	6.5	7.26	15.3	10.0	5.30
Amar'e Stoudemire	94	95	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	13.3	18.3	-5.02	15.2	15.8	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
ORL 93, CHA 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
LAC 103, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.08,0.1,0.05,0,0,0,0	95.0%