NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	5.3 [734]		MVP	Predrag Drobnjak (LAC): +13.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	3.6 [133]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -12.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	7	86%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.03	10	68%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Tom Gugliotta	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.00	13	43%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.06
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Raul Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	12	43%	-0.07	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.01	13	60%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.08	10	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	18	52%	-0.00	3	-0.08	14	93%	0.05
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	9	52%	-0.05	2	-0.07	11	64%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.6	24.8	15.0	33.1	1.7	37.2	135.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +28.5%

LAC -17.9%

UTA +19.2%

UTA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	17.8	14.9	15.7	110.2	104.5	100.5
season	17.2	15.5		99.4	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.2		106.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	20.6	19.6	14.2	17.8
LAC	17.4	14.7	12.5	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	66	65	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-7	19	16.5	22.0	-5.48	14.2	16.9	-2.74
Mikki Moore	43	44	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.06	18	-13	31	18.2	17.5	0.77	16.0	13.8	2.23
Michael Ruffin	41	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	-1	7	17.1	18.5	-1.44	12.6	17.0	-4.43
Mo Williams	30	31	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-7	19	18.9	17.3	1.61	12.4	16.3	-3.91
Jarron Collins	53	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	6	-7	17.3	18.7	-1.45	15.6	13.9	1.76
Carlos Arroyo	46	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	6	-7	15.8	20.1	-4.31	16.2	13.5	2.68
Gordan Giricek	38	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	-2	9	19.3	16.7	2.60	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Raja Bell	50	49	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	7	-9	16.7	19.3	-2.60	15.6	14.1	1.50
Tom Gugliotta	13	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	10	-15	18.2	17.8	0.46	16.3	14.6	1.67
Raul Lopez	12	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	11	-17	23.1	17.0	6.07	16.4	14.6	1.76
Sasha Pavlovic	32	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	12	-19	20.4	16.4	3.98	15.8	14.3	1.49
Greg Ostertag	16	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	13	-21	20.9	17.2	3.78	15.4	14.8	0.60

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	7	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-5	5	17.4	14.7	2.76	22.9	17.4	5.45
Predrag Drobnjak	43	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-15	25	14.3	15.5	-1.19	19.2	16.5	2.68
Eddie House	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-9	13	13.9	15.5	-1.56	15.6	19.2	-3.62
Matt Barnes	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-4	3	15.8	14.0	1.82	17.3	18.4	-1.05
Doug Overton	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	4	-13	15.2	14.5	0.66	18.7	16.8	1.82
Keyon Dooling	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-1	-3	14.1	17.7	-3.57	17.8	17.9	-0.13
Chris Kaman	53	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	8	-21	14.8	15.0	-0.14	19.4	15.8	3.61
Corey Maggette	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-3	1	14.5	17.6	-3.14	17.2	22.6	-5.48
Elton Brand	66	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	5	-15	16.0	11.6	4.39	17.0	20.8	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0,0	93.4%
WAS 105, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.13,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	92.5%
PHX 105, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.27,0.1,0.24,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.16,0	92.4%