NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	2.4 [1229]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +10.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	115		Comeback	1.2 [1056]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -16.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	137%	0.08	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	15	59%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	15	47%	-0.01	3	-0.01	8	50%	-0.02
Brad Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	12	38%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	0.00	-0.02	16	32%	-0.12	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.03	23	62%	0.10	0	0.00	12	100%	0.04
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	68%	0.06	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	17	59%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	8	52%	0.04	4	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.6	31.6	18.4	32.2	3.5	28.3	144.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.7%

LAL +5.8%

LAL +7.6%

LAL +3.3%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	15.7	94.8	119.8	100.5
season	14.7	15.4		106.9	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		99.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	15.5	12.9	14.2	14.1
LAL	13.7	13.3	16.5	20.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	11.3	14.4	-3.10	19.2	15.5	3.72
Jabari Smith	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	9.7	14.3	-4.59	19.6	15.6	3.95
Tony Massenburg	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	11.3	14.4	-3.10	19.2	15.5	3.72
Anthony Peeler	46	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-26	28	13.2	15.1	-1.91	17.7	14.2	3.45
Rodney Buford	20	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-23	22	14.1	14.1	0.01	17.2	15.5	1.70
Brad Miller	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-27	30	13.4	15.0	-1.66	17.8	13.5	4.30
Vlade Divac	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-7	-10	15.3	12.8	2.53	13.5	18.6	-5.13
Doug Christie	65	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	-2	-20	13.8	15.0	-1.21	14.3	19.0	-4.72
Mike Bibby	78	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.17	-22	-2	-20	14.8	11.3	3.46	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Chris Webber	71	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.43	-32	8	-40	14.6	13.0	1.60	15.3	17.5	-2.20
Peja Stojakovic	75	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.31	-28	4	-32	14.7	12.3	2.32	15.7	16.4	-0.72

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.32	27	-3	30	14.4	18.8	-4.41	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Kobe Bryant	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.27	25	-1	26	14.8	19.7	-4.86	13.9	15.2	-1.39
Gary Payton	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.16	21	3	18	14.7	19.0	-4.31	14.6	13.0	1.54
Shaquille O'Neal	67	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.37	28	-4	32	15.4	16.9	-1.54	15.4	11.0	4.39
Karl Malone	66	66	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	19	-14	14.7	18.4	-3.65	14.9	12.4	2.54
Slava Medvedenko	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	15	-6	17.5	14.3	3.20	12.4	15.7	-3.33
Derek Fisher	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	20	-16	18.6	14.5	4.12	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Devean George	16	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	26	-28	19.9	15.0	4.82	15.4	13.8	1.60
Brian Cook	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	19	-14	17.2	15.7	1.52	8.9	14.6	-5.75
Kareem Rush	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	28	-32	19.1	14.7	4.42	14.7	14.0	0.72
Luke Walton	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	19.6	15.6	3.95	9.7	14.3	-4.59
Bryon Russell	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	19.6	15.6	3.95	9.7	14.3	-4.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 81, SAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
PHX 92, CHA 126	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ATL 87, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%