NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	4.2 [980]		MVP	Mark Blount (BOS): +9.7%
Dallas Mavericks	120		Comeback	1.0 [1263]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -11.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.01	0.02	13	83%	0.14	3	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Jiri Welsch	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Hunter	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	38%	-0.04	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	13	66%	0.06	5	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	16	44%	-0.02	4	-0.09	7	43%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	13	61%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	13	70%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	86%	0.05	1	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	87%	0.08	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	19	55%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	64%	0.07	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	15	27%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.5	31.4	18.3	27.5	3.4	34.5	146.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +16.4%

DAL +6.7%

DAL +20.4%

DAL +2.7%

DAL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	15.7	107.2	123.7	100.5
season	14.4	14.6		99.5	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.9		105.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	14.5	16.5	12.7	14.8
DAL	13.7	16.9	13.5	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	10.2	15.2	-4.99	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Jumaine Jones	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	9.1	15.3	-6.15	15.0	14.8	0.17
Chris Mihm	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-21	26	11.9	15.3	-3.34	17.8	14.4	3.38
Marcus Banks	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-17	18	14.3	15.0	-0.71	15.0	14.8	0.20
Brandon Hunter	12	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-7	-2	14.6	14.9	-0.30	16.3	14.6	1.69
Ricky Davis	57	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-16	16	14.3	15.6	-1.24	15.2	14.4	0.80
Jiri Welsch	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	-6	-4	16.0	13.7	2.24	14.9	14.8	0.05
Walter McCarty	84	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-6	-4	15.0	13.7	1.33	14.6	16.3	-1.68
Chucky Atkins	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	1	-18	15.0	14.3	0.71	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Mark Blount	85	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.13	-21	5	-26	15.3	11.9	3.34	14.4	17.8	-3.38
Paul Pierce	77	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.16	-22	6	-28	15.2	13.3	1.95	14.6	15.8	-1.17

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.22	26	-10	36	14.8	15.0	-0.23	15.6	13.4	2.19
Dirk Nowitzki	81	81	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.14	23	-7	30	14.5	16.4	-1.83	15.4	12.2	3.11
Antoine Walker	79	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.16	22	-6	28	14.5	16.6	-2.10	15.2	13.3	1.97
Antawn Jamison	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	5	6	14.3	16.8	-2.49	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Michael Finley	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	8	0	14.7	15.1	-0.33	15.6	13.4	2.22
Josh Howard	43	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	13	-10	16.2	13.8	2.41	13.3	16.1	-2.84
Danny Fortson	9	9	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	9	-2	17.1	14.6	2.50	16.1	14.7	1.40
Travis Best	17	17	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	20	-24	15.4	14.7	0.69	12.8	15.3	-2.45
Eduardo Najera	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	15.0	14.8	0.17	9.1	15.3	-6.15
Shawn Bradley	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	16	-16	2.0	15.0	-12.98	14.0	14.9	-0.85
Marquis Daniels	37	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	25	-34	14.8	14.9	-0.10	14.0	15.4	-1.39
Scott Williams	7	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	20	-24	20.0	14.4	5.56	14.7	14.9	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.96,1	95.7%
LAC 84, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIL 112, DEN 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%