NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	77		Excitement	1.8 [1263]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (NJN): +9.3%
New Jersey Nets	94		Comeback	1.1 [1154]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -10.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	6	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	9	60%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Webber	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	17	36%	-0.10	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	0.05	16	49%	-0.09	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	11	91%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.01	-0.09	18	50%	0.07	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	0.00	0.09	17	71%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	33%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	10	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	8	44%	-0.00	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	29.6	16.4	23.2	1.6	21.6	115.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +46.8%

NJN +0.9%

NJN +4.0%

SAC -3.4%

NJN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.7	80.2	100.0	100.5
season	14.7	15.3		106.9	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.6		95.2	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.8	13.7	16.7	13.9	14.8
NJN	14.0	14.6	13.9	20.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-22	27	13.4	15.0	-1.61	19.0	15.1	3.88
Tony Massenburg	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	13.0	15.1	-2.10	19.5	14.9	4.65
Darius Songaila	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-26	35	13.9	15.2	-1.27	20.2	13.7	6.53
Rodney Buford	26	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-11	5	13.7	15.2	-1.45	15.7	15.5	0.22
Brad Miller	52	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-17	17	14.4	15.2	-0.80	16.2	14.7	1.49
Chris Webber	55	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-3	-11	15.5	13.8	1.76	14.0	17.8	-3.75
Anthony Peeler	47	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-8	-1	14.3	15.3	-1.05	16.6	14.6	2.03
Doug Christie	64	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-5	-7	14.9	14.6	0.34	14.6	17.4	-2.77
Peja Stojakovic	63	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.13	-17	0	-17	15.3	13.8	1.58	15.1	16.5	-1.38
Mike Bibby	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	-2	-13	15.0	14.0	0.97	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Vlade Divac	42	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.45	-29	12	-41	15.8	14.0	1.72	12.4	17.9	-5.53

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	78	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-4	25	15.4	16.4	-1.02	15.2	12.5	2.75
Jason Kidd	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	1	15	14.3	18.5	-4.18	15.0	14.4	0.54
Richard Jefferson	76	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	4	9	15.6	15.3	0.25	14.9	14.2	0.68
Rodney Rogers	47	49	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	8	1	16.3	14.8	1.53	13.9	15.7	-1.87
Aaron Williams	24	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.18	15	2	13	15.0	15.7	-0.66	14.9	14.7	0.17
Kenyon Martin	50	50	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	11	-5	14.9	16.2	-1.35	15.5	14.0	1.52
Jason Collins	66	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	16	-15	15.6	15.3	0.30	15.3	13.8	1.46
Lucious Harris	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	12	-7	17.4	14.5	2.85	14.0	15.2	-1.23
Brian Scalabrine	15	17	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	11	-5	15.0	15.6	-0.63	14.6	14.8	-0.18
Zoran Planinic	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.0	15.5	1.53	10.6	15.0	-4.42
Hubert Davis	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	20.2	15.2	4.95	13.0	14.9	-1.93
Brandon Armstrong	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.0	15.5	1.53	10.6	15.0	-4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 84, PHI 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
WAS 68, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
WAS 83, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%