inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 103 Excitement6.1 [578] MVPTim Thomas (NYK): +30.5%
Milwaukee Bucks 100 Comeback44.2 [11] LVPKeith Van Horn (MIL): -14.9%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Thomas0.300,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.23,0.25,0.30.030.22-0.061169%0.333-0.027100%0.10
Anfernee Hardaway0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.060.09-0.004100%0.212-0.063100%0.01
Allan Houston0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.05-0.001453%0.0900.002100%0.01
Moochie Norris0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.002100%0.0600.001100%0.01
Stephon Marbury0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,0.05,0.07,0.05-0.040.100.011552%0.142-0.101050%-0.04
Michael Sweetney0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.01450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.000,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02425%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Vin Baker-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.011440%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.040,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.050.03767%-0.011-0.0310%-0.00
Othella Harrington-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Skinner0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.160.160.020.11-0.021464%0.203-0.04560%-0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.080.080.020.04-0.02775%0.173-0.092100%0.04
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.01650%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00329%-0.0200.0010%-0.01
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.001747%-0.011-0.02683%0.04
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.00737%-0.1100.00560%-0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.13-0.021448%-0.101-0.023100%0.01
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.14-0.021550%-0.052-0.10683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.23.334.40.226.22.839.0131.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +61.4%
NYK +2.2%
MIL -21.6%
NYK +12.1%
MIL -4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKMILNBANYKMILNBA
this game16.515.715.7117.0109.9100.5
season15.515.398.6103.6
opponent15.515.8103.3100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK19.917.313.715.516.5
MIL14.415.515.617.315.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allan Houston69740.72-0.220.940.4011-81916.217.6-1.4215.417.1-1.71
Kurt Thomas52540.60-0.100.700.465-2715.417.9-2.5015.316.4-1.15
Tim Thomas67690.50-0.000.500.4130316.018.0-1.9515.715.8-0.12
Vin Baker62650.480.020.460.364-1516.217.1-0.9215.815.50.26
Stephon Marbury72760.460.040.420.4603-316.018.4-2.3315.318.1-2.80
Anfernee Hardaway26240.150.35-0.210.005-2718.515.62.8318.414.83.60
Othella Harrington12110.120.38-0.26-0.097-41116.216.5-0.3516.015.70.31
Moochie Norris16150.040.46-0.42-0.0530318.416.02.3318.115.32.80
Michael Sweetney3637-0.100.60-0.70-0.04-25-717.915.42.5016.415.31.15
Nazr Mohammed1415-0.180.68-0.870.11-1013-2317.916.21.7415.215.8-0.63
Shandon Anderson1415-0.280.78-1.060.04-1114-2516.516.50.0413.216.2-3.02

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Redd68640.12-0.620.74-0.066-91514.618.9-4.2716.117.5-1.48
Dan Gadzuric21220.09-0.590.670.032-5718.514.93.5819.015.63.32
Toni Kukoc37350.05-0.550.59-0.167-101716.815.01.8317.016.10.84
Brevin Knight2625-0.12-0.380.26-0.06-2-1-118.214.83.4018.815.53.26
Keith Van Horn8583-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.484-71115.420.7-5.2916.418.2-1.84
Damon Jones6563-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.35-1-2114.818.2-3.4015.518.8-3.26
Joe Smith5453-0.550.05-0.59-0.25-107-1715.016.8-1.8316.117.0-0.84
Brian Skinner7066-0.590.09-0.67-0.44-52-714.918.5-3.5815.619.0-3.32
Desmond Mason2929-0.760.26-1.02-0.29-1613-2919.314.15.2117.715.91.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.22,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 123, BOS 1120.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.22,0.01,092.1%
PHX 110, BOS 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.41,0.17,0.53,0.54,0.11,0.05,091.3%
CHA 116, DET 1060.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.47,0.29,0.03,0,090.7%