NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	97		Excitement	6.1 [581]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +13.6%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	1.4 [948]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -23.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	15	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Michael Doleac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	65%	0.04	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.06
Earl Boykins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.09	0.02	-0.08	0.03	7	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.16,-0.19	-0.02	-0.11	0.07	15	48%	-0.07	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	-0.00	25	43%	-0.10	4	-0.14	6	67%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.01	16	74%	0.24	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.06
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.02	14	70%	0.16	2	-0.03	9	78%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	89%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	68%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	8	12%	-0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	6	-0.20	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	27.4	15.4	22.0	1.8	33.9	126.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +68.5%

NJN +2.5%

DEN -12.8%

DEN -7.6%

DEN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NJN	NBA	DEN	NJN	NBA
this game	16.6	14.8	15.7	106.6	106.5	100.5
season	14.9	15.3		101.6	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.4		95.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.4	17.3	17.4	16.5	16.6
NJN	15.9	12.7	16.9	14.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	59	61	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.46	16	-17	33	15.8	18.2	-2.37	14.6	15.4	-0.78
Rodney White	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	2	-5	18.2	16.5	1.75	18.6	14.4	4.12
Jon Barry	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	4	-9	19.1	16.4	2.72	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Earl Boykins	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.36	8	-9	17	16.6	16.7	-0.03	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Chris Andersen	5	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	3	-7	16.0	16.7	-0.69	7.0	15.3	-8.29
Francisco Elson	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	6	-13	19.4	16.2	3.19	16.9	14.5	2.39
Michael Doleac	18	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	7	-15	18.8	16.1	2.65	16.4	14.4	2.00
Voshon Lenard	79	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.53	6	-7	13	16.2	19.4	-3.19	14.5	16.9	-2.39
Carmelo Anthony	82	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.48	2	-3	5	16.5	18.2	-1.75	14.4	18.6	-4.12
Marcus Camby	88	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.46	1	-2	3	16.4	23.0	-6.57	14.9	14.5	0.35
Andre Miller	71	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	10	-21	16.8	15.9	0.90	15.2	13.4	1.84

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	34	33	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-19	39	14.0	15.3	-1.37	18.3	15.7	2.60
Aaron Williams	48	46	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-10	21	15.3	14.3	0.95	15.9	17.4	-1.53
Kerry Kittles	71	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	5	-9	14.4	16.5	-2.12	16.1	18.4	-2.26
Jason Kidd	77	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	6	-11	14.1	18.6	-4.50	16.8	16.0	0.78
Lucious Harris	26	26	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	-5	11	17.2	13.9	3.34	16.7	16.6	0.01
Kenyon Martin	78	76	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.52	-9	10	-19	15.0	14.0	0.99	16.4	17.8	-1.38
Richard Jefferson	72	73	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.44	-9	10	-19	15.1	13.9	1.13	16.1	18.7	-2.59
Brandon Armstrong	10	11	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	-4	9	17.7	14.5	3.21	19.2	16.3	2.88
Jason Collins	44	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.28	-10	11	-21	14.3	15.3	-0.95	17.4	15.9	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.91,0.99,0.95,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
VAN 88, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
NJN 100, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.99,0.94,1,1	93.8%