inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 117 Excitement3.7 [1056] MVPVoshon Lenard (DEN): +15.6%
Washington Wizards 87 Comeback1.6 [359] LVPMarcus Camby (DEN): -12.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.020.031771%0.1600.004100%0.01
Andre Miller0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.02-0.02667%0.0900.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01375%0.0010.002100%0.00
Rodney White-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04580%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.061155%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nene-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.000.04775%0.042-0.06683%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00440%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.022152%0.032-0.05875%-0.00
Jon Barry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01442%-0.0200.00425%-0.04
Marcus Camby-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.00540%-0.014-0.1200%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lonny Baxter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.000.05583%0.011-0.002100%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.03-0.00-0.031849%0.022-0.023100%0.02
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04446%-0.011-0.00540%-0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00662%-0.002-0.03450%-0.01
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.12-0.01-0.06825%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Mitchell Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.02225%-0.061-0.01450%-0.01
Gilbert Arenas0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.022244%-0.032-0.04862%-0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.03-0.02952%-0.024-0.08771%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.626.215.627.32.429.6128.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +42.7%
WAS -2.6%
DEN +6.8%
DEN +3.6%
WAS -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENWASNBADENWASNBA
this game14.715.115.7120.690.6100.5
season14.915.2101.696.4
opponent15.315.4102.4101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.715.413.513.514.7
WAS14.615.316.514.215.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony74750.58-0.080.65-0.4535-54014.316.0-1.6215.513.71.81
Nene60600.52-0.020.54-0.4232-23414.614.8-0.1915.514.50.96
Voshon Lenard64650.490.000.49-0.242552014.515.2-0.7015.713.91.85
Andre Miller59590.480.020.46-0.081911815.513.52.0115.714.21.52
Chris Andersen31300.230.27-0.04-0.151317-412.615.7-3.1015.714.90.79
Marcus Camby54550.190.31-0.11-0.101020-1015.813.32.5115.115.2-0.16
Francisco Elson15140.050.45-0.39-0.01228-2614.714.70.0115.715.00.69
Earl Boykins44430.020.48-0.46-0.24921-1213.815.5-1.7013.916.1-2.16
Jon Barry24220.000.50-0.49-0.08327-2415.614.41.2014.515.3-0.87
Michael Doleac22220.000.50-0.490.00030-3015.014.60.4213.615.6-1.93
Nikoloz Tskitishvili12110.000.50-0.50-0.09327-2414.914.70.2214.315.2-0.96
Rodney White2624-0.080.58-0.65-0.05-131-3215.314.50.8513.615.6-2.06

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lonny Baxter38370.01-0.510.510.27-9-211213.716.1-2.3814.614.8-0.16
Jared Jeffries1011-0.02-0.480.450.03-2-282616.015.00.9813.814.8-1.02
Etan Thomas3535-0.03-0.470.430.14-6-241814.115.7-1.5914.115.1-0.95
Jarvis Hayes3736-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-252015.514.90.5916.913.43.49
Steve Blake4850-0.20-0.300.100.24-15-15014.415.8-1.3714.015.5-1.49
Gilbert Arenas6968-0.22-0.280.060.13-12-18615.115.1-0.0315.014.01.03
Juan Dixon8081-0.38-0.12-0.260.38-26-4-2215.015.9-0.9714.913.90.94
Brendan Haywood6162-0.47-0.03-0.430.24-24-6-1815.714.11.5915.114.10.95
Kwame Brown6163-0.510.01-0.510.23-25-5-2015.913.82.1314.615.0-0.38
Mitchell Butler4142-0.550.05-0.600.21-26-4-2215.914.51.3613.415.7-2.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 115, SAC 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
TOR 101, VAN 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
DAL 111, GSW 820.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%