inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 106 Excitement8.2 [215] MVPJarvis Hayes (WAS): +11.4%
Washington Wizards 111 Comeback2.5 [654] LVPSteve Blake (WAS): -46.2%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.03-0.02844%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Stacey Augmon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00267%0.0100.002100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.030.031362%0.103-0.15367%-0.00
Robert Traylor-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.050.00657%-0.031-0.022100%0.00
David West-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.06-0.041129%-0.091-0.022100%0.02
Jamal Mashburn-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.140.02-0.130.022652%-0.102-0.032100%0.00
Steven Smith-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.05-0.090.0020%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Baron Davis-0.280,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.280.03-0.270.042560%-0.085-0.205100%0.07

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.040.011186%0.304-0.1800%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.080.08-0.020.08-0.02743%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.060.060.01-0.02-0.082757%0.155-0.09757%-0.02
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.01772%0.061-0.01475%-0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.01579%0.051-0.02475%-0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00947%0.011-0.041100%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.2-0.20-0.09-0.12-0.01740%-0.132-0.07633%-0.13
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.45,-0.45,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.46-0.46-0.13-0.34-0.011042%-0.235-0.23450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.21.727.015.425.62.430.42.313.2140.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +92.1%
NOH -28.8%
NOH -4.7%
NOH -13.9%
WAS +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHWASNBANOHWASNBA
this game15.814.715.7101.9106.7100.5
season16.015.299.396.4
opponent15.315.7102.499.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOH15.317.816.315.213.015.8
WAS17.412.713.715.514.314.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Smith21210.53-1.031.560.1214-193314.816.1-1.3016.214.41.83
Jamaal Magloire71700.07-0.570.650.070-5515.516.7-1.2515.413.32.13
Robert Traylor1819-0.03-0.470.45-0.061-6717.815.42.3413.115.1-2.05
Darrell Armstrong7172-0.18-0.320.13-0.4810-152514.718.4-3.7314.714.8-0.12
David Wesley4343-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.18-4-1-315.815.9-0.1314.814.70.10
David West1312-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-1611-2719.515.34.1311.015.2-4.22
Stacey Augmon4241-0.38-0.12-0.260.09-1611-2717.714.63.0514.215.0-0.80
Baron Davis9595-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.35-4-1-315.618.8-3.2114.714.9-0.17
P.J. Brown6363-0.590.09-0.68-0.50-3-2-115.915.80.0315.313.81.53
Jamal Mashburn8384-0.810.31-1.12-0.60-72-915.915.60.2814.515.7-1.20

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake57550.58-0.080.650.377-2913.616.1-2.5916.215.50.71
Gilbert Arenas1041040.500.000.500.3550514.70.014.7315.80.015.85
Jarvis Hayes95950.470.030.440.238-31114.616.1-1.5115.816.2-0.41
Jared Jeffries66660.330.170.150.3305-514.215.6-1.4215.316.9-1.61
Etan Thomas45440.260.240.030.1732113.016.1-3.0516.715.21.41
Kwame Brown81820.200.30-0.110.34-510-1515.412.23.2315.218.2-3.02
Brendan Haywood35360.140.36-0.22-0.0150516.813.73.1615.915.80.11
Juan Dixon37380.030.47-0.43-0.0323-116.413.82.5216.815.31.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.69,0.29,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.78,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 108, WAS 1110.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.92,188.1%
NYK 104, CHH 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.67,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.96,187.6%
MIA 116, MEM 1260.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.91,1,187.5%