NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	86		Excitement	7.8 [257]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): +11.2%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	4.0 [621]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -48.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	17	57%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.02	6	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Caron Butler	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	12	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.07
Rafer Alston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	75%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Brian Grant	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	4	10%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.48	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.43,-0.43,-0.48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.02	17	40%	-0.13	10	-0.36	8	87%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	16	51%	0.05	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.09
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.17,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	13	56%	-0.04	2	-0.06	19	79%	-0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.27,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.24	-0.21	-0.04	-0.01	13	46%	-0.01	7	-0.23	13	62%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.6	33.2	17.6	25.2	2.5	45.0	151.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +6.3%

NJN +3.3%

NJN +21.9%

NJN +15.3%

NJN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NJN	NBA	MIA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.0	15.7	90.5	95.8	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		99.3	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.9		95.2	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.7	17.8	16.3	14.1	16.2
NJN	15.3	12.7	15.0	13.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	29	29	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-11	16	16.8	15.9	0.82	12.1	14.8	-2.74
Samaki Walker	4	4	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-7	8	11.0	16.4	-5.42	15.5	13.9	1.59
Rafer Alston	28	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-7	8	18.0	15.4	2.57	14.0	14.0	-0.02
Rasual Butler	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-5	4	18.1	15.8	2.28	11.1	14.6	-3.53
Lamar Odom	31	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-3	0	17.5	15.5	1.97	15.5	13.2	2.29
Caron Butler	78	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	15.8	18.1	-2.28	14.6	11.1	3.53
Udonis Haslem	64	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	0	-6	16.8	14.9	1.91	14.0	13.9	0.15
Dwyane Wade	86	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	15.5	23.2	-7.77	14.0	13.6	0.47
Eddie Jones	78	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.19	-10	4	-14	16.1	16.6	-0.56	13.6	15.6	-1.99
Brian Grant	60	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.31	-8	2	-10	15.2	17.8	-2.55	14.4	13.3	1.05

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	76	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	1	4	14.6	11.7	2.88	15.7	18.0	-2.30
Kerry Kittles	70	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-1	8	13.7	14.8	-1.19	15.3	18.5	-3.18
Kenyon Martin	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.42	1	5	-4	14.3	12.8	1.48	16.3	15.8	0.45
Jason Collins	68	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	2	2	14.1	13.6	0.53	15.4	18.3	-2.97
Richard Jefferson	85	84	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	2	2	14.0	14.2	-0.23	15.5	21.8	-6.37
Rodney Rogers	28	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	0	6	13.3	14.3	-0.98	19.5	15.0	4.52
Aaron Williams	26	25	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	5	-4	14.6	13.7	0.87	18.9	15.2	3.65
Lucious Harris	28	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	13.8	14.0	-0.22	18.0	15.5	2.53
Brian Scalabrine	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	5	-4	13.5	14.0	-0.49	7.0	16.5	-9.49
Zoran Planinic	20	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	5	-4	11.7	14.6	-2.88	18.0	15.7	2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.86,0.72,0.91,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, WAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.86,0.64,0.9,0.99,1	92.3%
DEN 81, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	92.2%
DEN 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.92,1	91.4%