NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	6.7 [450]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +14.8%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	4.4 [516]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -25.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.02	-0.01	17	68%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	12	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	9	40%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.01	18	43%	-0.11	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.21	-0.04	0.00	15	26%	-0.13	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.01	9	71%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	15	58%	0.13	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.03
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	36%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	12	54%	0.03	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	9	27%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	10	62%	0.02	5	-0.16	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	29.4	15.4	24.4	2.4	30.6	127.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.8%

WAS +2.6%

WAS +18.2%

CHI -7.5%

CHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.6	15.7	87.9	95.0	100.5
season	15.2	15.2		94.6	96.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		102.4	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	12.6	16.2	13.5	14.3
WAS	13.4	14.6	16.5	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	53	54	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.38	14	-22	36	12.2	16.8	-4.53	14.3	15.0	-0.72
Rick Brunson	7	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-12	16	8.3	14.8	-6.51	17.6	14.3	3.28
Corie Blount	36	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-18	28	12.2	15.6	-3.36	14.4	14.7	-0.35
Kendall Gill	52	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-12	16	14.7	14.0	0.68	15.5	13.6	1.87
Jerome Williams	17	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	1	-10	17.5	13.7	3.86	12.6	15.0	-2.44
Marcus Fizer	12	12	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-4	0	14.1	14.4	-0.28	14.2	14.7	-0.41
Antonio Davis	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	4	-16	15.1	12.4	2.71	15.1	13.3	1.83
Kirk Hinrich	87	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	4	-16	14.7	11.4	3.32	14.8	13.5	1.30
Eddy Curry	89	89	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.08	-18	10	-28	14.8	10.2	4.60	14.4	16.1	-1.66
Jamal Crawford	72	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.13	-17	9	-26	14.8	13.2	1.58	14.0	16.1	-2.08

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	85	83	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-6	20	14.3	16.6	-2.34	14.7	12.6	2.11
Gilbert Arenas	93	92	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-6	20	14.6	15.0	-0.42	14.5	12.4	2.05
Jared Jeffries	60	60	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	2	4	13.8	15.7	-1.90	13.4	15.7	-2.24
Juan Dixon	45	46	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.10	17	-9	26	14.8	14.5	0.31	16.6	12.3	4.29
Brendan Haywood	38	39	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	-3	14	14.9	14.4	0.50	16.0	13.2	2.79
Jerry Stackhouse	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.17	12	-4	16	14.1	15.0	-0.91	15.3	13.5	1.81
Etan Thomas	41	40	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	9	-10	15.8	13.8	1.98	13.7	14.7	-1.02
Brevin Knight	34	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.30	-7	15	-22	15.4	14.2	1.13	12.6	15.2	-2.55
Jarvis Hayes	43	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.38	-16	24	-40	15.1	14.2	0.89	12.4	15.8	-3.43
Steve Blake	16	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.18	-10	18	-28	13.7	14.8	-1.02	11.7	14.8	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 81, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.91,1	93.0%
DEN 92, MEM 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	92.5%
ORL 84, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.4%