NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	86		Excitement	5.7 [662]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +12.8%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	2.9 [658]		LVP	Gordan Giricek (UTA): -22.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.05	-0.04	9	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	15	93%	0.06
Ansu Sesay	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	13	67%	0.08	4	-0.12	13	92%	0.07
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	78%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	11	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	9	23%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jerome James	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	14	66%	0.17	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.09	0.02	16	64%	0.19	4	-0.10	10	90%	0.09
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	21	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	10	0%	-0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	26.9	14.6	29.2	1.8	31.3	132.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.2%

SEA -7.6%

UTA +34.1%

UTA +8.1%

UTA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	18.1	15.7	100.0	115.1	100.5
season	15.6	17.2		105.0	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.4	15.9	11.6	19.0	15.4
UTA	18.2	18.4	20.2	15.3	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ansu Sesay	23	24	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-22	31	14.0	15.9	-1.86	19.2	17.6	1.62
Antonio Daniels	67	67	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-13	13	15.0	16.8	-1.84	18.0	18.4	-0.37
Vitaly Potapenko	45	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-12	11	14.6	16.3	-1.69	18.5	17.7	0.81
Rashard Lewis	66	65	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-9	5	15.0	16.6	-1.55	18.0	18.3	-0.27
Calvin Booth	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-9	5	16.6	15.0	1.55	18.4	18.0	0.48
Luke Ridnour	16	17	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	-4	-5	15.6	15.4	0.27	18.2	18.0	0.19
Ronald Murray	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	-4	-5	14.6	16.3	-1.70	17.9	18.3	-0.40
Jerome James	28	28	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	1	-15	16.2	15.0	1.14	16.0	19.1	-3.09
Ray Allen	58	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.15	-17	4	-21	16.9	12.2	4.68	18.2	17.8	0.39
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	63	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.21	-16	3	-19	15.7	14.6	1.10	18.3	17.5	0.82

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	52	51	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.20	19	-6	25	17.2	19.4	-2.20	16.3	14.1	2.18
Mo Williams	31	31	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-3	19	15.6	19.5	-3.91	16.3	14.9	1.33
Raul Lopez	28	28	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.14	18	-5	23	16.9	18.7	-1.76	18.9	13.7	5.12
Greg Ostertag	53	53	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	0	13	17.4	19.1	-1.69	15.9	14.6	1.30
Andrei Kirilenko	73	74	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	7	-1	17.4	21.8	-4.44	15.4	15.2	0.28
Jarron Collins	38	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	10	-7	18.6	17.7	0.84	15.6	15.3	0.33
Sasha Pavlovic	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	13	-13	18.1	18.1	-0.03	15.8	15.3	0.47
Michael Ruffin	30	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	12	-11	19.3	17.4	1.92	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Tom Gugliotta	20	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.03	-1	14	-15	20.7	17.3	3.48	13.8	15.9	-2.01
Carlos Arroyo	63	62	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	17	-21	18.6	16.7	1.95	14.0	19.0	-4.93
Gordan Giricek	24	24	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.08	-6	19	-25	22.2	16.5	5.67	12.5	16.5	-4.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 88, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
TOR 96, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.7%
LAC 100, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.9%