NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	4.2 [974]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +10.6%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	1.4 [439]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -20.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	22	65%	0.13	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.06	0.03	12	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	20	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Eric Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	8	23%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	12	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	13	21%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.04	0.13	34	43%	-0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.5	32.5	18.5	28.2	3.4	43.5	153.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.2%

CLE +10.9%

CLE +4.3%

CLE +1.3%

CLE +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.7	101.1	93.5	100.5
season	15.7	15.5		99.8	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.7	14.6	18.1	16.8	16.5
NYK	16.8	16.7	14.6	12.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	83	84	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-5	16	16.5	17.1	-0.66	15.3	11.6	3.65
Jeff McInnis	81	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.27	10	-4	14	16.4	17.9	-1.54	15.0	14.5	0.51
Carlos Boozer	70	71	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.47	3	3	0	15.8	19.0	-3.21	14.9	15.2	-0.36
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	3	0	17.5	11.1	6.45	15.6	11.4	4.16
Eric Williams	55	56	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	5	-4	16.0	17.3	-1.29	14.3	15.9	-1.62
Ira Newble	37	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	1	4	17.0	16.2	0.84	15.5	14.6	0.93
Tony Battie	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	-2	10	18.2	15.7	2.54	15.0	14.9	0.06
Kevin Ollie	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	12	-18	12.4	17.3	-4.94	11.7	15.6	-3.93
Dajuan Wagner	7	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	11	-16	18.6	16.4	2.21	13.3	15.1	-1.81

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Williams	10	10	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-10	14	14.5	15.0	-0.51	17.9	16.4	1.54
Nazr Mohammed	24	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.19	-11	5	-16	16.3	14.5	1.86	15.3	16.9	-1.65
Anfernee Hardaway	56	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-10	14	13.5	17.2	-3.68	16.6	16.4	0.18
Othella Harrington	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	2	-10	15.5	14.7	0.74	18.0	15.9	2.09
Dikembe Mutombo	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-12	18	15.1	14.7	0.42	18.1	14.0	4.06
Kurt Thomas	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.38	1	-7	8	14.8	15.5	-0.65	16.1	18.0	-1.85
Shandon Anderson	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-6	6	14.9	15.2	-0.28	16.2	17.4	-1.15
Tim Thomas	69	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	10	-26	15.5	13.2	2.32	15.7	18.7	-3.02
Stephon Marbury	82	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	4	-14	15.0	14.5	0.51	16.4	17.9	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 109, CHH 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
UTA 103, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0	95.3%
CHA 113, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%