NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	78		Excitement	6.1 [591]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +2.8%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	3.7 [648]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -23.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	15	59%	0.09	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	11	48%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.07
Richard Hamilton	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.10	0.01	20	44%	-0.07	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.00	0.08	14	61%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	16	54%	-0.01	3	-0.09	18	72%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	5	38%	-0.07	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	16	46%	0.03	5	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	17	33%	-0.10	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	32.8	18.8	26.1	3.4	31.3	141.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +21.2%

NJN +8.8%

NJN +22.0%

NJN +1.5%

DET -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.2	15.7	83.0	93.7	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		99.2	98.1
opponent	16.2	16.0		95.2	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.3	18.8	18.5	13.5	16.3
NJN	17.0	9.6	13.6	17.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	39	39	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.21	8	-19	27	14.8	17.4	-2.52	16.8	12.4	4.41
Zeljko Rebraca	21	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-14	17	17.6	16.0	1.61	13.6	14.3	-0.74
Tayshaun Prince	64	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-14	17	15.0	19.2	-4.18	15.9	10.8	5.01
Darvin Ham	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-5	-1	19.2	15.7	3.49	12.1	14.6	-2.57
Chucky Atkins	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-4	-3	17.7	15.6	2.08	13.2	14.7	-1.45
Bob Sura	25	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-1	-9	18.3	15.6	2.67	10.2	15.7	-5.42
Chauncey Billups	70	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-9	7	15.8	17.7	-1.87	14.8	12.3	2.51
Corliss Williamson	40	40	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.22	-24	13	-37	17.6	15.4	2.27	12.1	15.7	-3.62
Richard Hamilton	78	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	-2	-7	15.9	18.4	-2.48	14.6	12.2	2.31
Ben Wallace	83	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	0	-11	16.2	17.4	-1.18	14.0	15.8	-1.87

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	85	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-2	15	14.1	14.9	-0.82	16.4	15.8	0.58
Richard Jefferson	83	83	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-5	21	13.9	16.1	-2.19	16.5	15.1	1.39
Kerry Kittles	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	2	7	14.7	12.3	2.36	15.7	18.3	-2.59
Kenyon Martin	83	84	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	3	5	14.9	9.2	5.63	15.8	20.8	-5.01
Aaron Williams	68	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	3	5	14.9	12.3	2.62	15.3	18.8	-3.56
Brian Scalabrine	15	14	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	11	-11	12.4	14.5	-2.10	18.4	16.0	2.39
Rodney Rogers	36	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	10	-9	12.5	15.2	-2.69	18.4	15.1	3.32
Zoran Planinic	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	10	-9	13.0	14.3	-1.26	14.7	16.4	-1.73
Lucious Harris	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	12	-13	13.2	14.5	-1.28	18.3	15.6	2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.76,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	94.6%
NYK 89, PHX 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
MEM 94, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%