NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	96		Excitement	7.1 [381]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): +17.2%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	2.2 [701]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -22.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	23	49%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	20	51%	0.04	3	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	13	48%	0.02	5	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03
Steve Nash	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.22,-0.23	-0.12	-0.09	0.02	15	44%	-0.11	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.12	-0.03	18	65%	0.31	5	-0.13	10	80%	0.07
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.07	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	19	55%	0.01	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	19	34%	-0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	27.5	16.3	21.6	1.6	35.2	130.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +35.9%

ATL +19.0%

ATL +12.0%

DAL -12.0%

DAL -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	15.7	98.0	103.0	100.5
season	14.6	15.3		109.2	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	14.2	16.4	13.5	14.8
ATL	13.2	17.1	14.2	13.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	7	6	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-11	16	14.9	14.8	0.09	21.3	14.0	7.31
Travis Best	22	22	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-10	14	13.7	15.1	-1.41	13.0	14.9	-1.82
Scott Williams	19	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	13.0	15.2	-2.20	14.0	14.6	-0.57
Josh Howard	48	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-11	16	14.2	15.3	-1.03	15.0	13.9	1.19
Shawn Bradley	37	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-5	4	15.5	14.3	1.19	14.6	14.4	0.25
Dirk Nowitzki	87	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	14.8	14.8	-0.05	14.0	17.9	-3.87
Antoine Walker	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	1	-8	15.0	14.3	0.66	14.5	14.4	0.13
Michael Finley	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	4	-14	14.8	14.7	0.14	14.0	16.0	-1.97
Steve Nash	76	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	4	-14	15.1	13.7	1.41	14.9	13.0	1.82
Antawn Jamison	46	47	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	7	-20	15.1	14.5	0.67	14.5	14.4	0.05

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	91	90	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-7	20	14.3	16.1	-1.81	15.0	11.7	3.29
Dion Glover	42	41	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-7	20	13.9	14.9	-1.06	13.6	15.6	-1.96
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	93	91	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	0	6	14.4	15.8	-1.46	14.6	17.4	-2.86
Nazr Mohammed	31	30	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	16.5	13.5	2.94	15.0	14.7	0.37
Stephen Jackson	84	82	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	2	2	14.0	16.9	-2.91	15.1	13.1	2.05
Boris Diaw	60	62	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	11	-16	14.3	14.7	-0.33	15.0	14.4	0.57
Theo Ratliff	68	68	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	5	-4	13.5	16.5	-2.94	14.7	15.0	-0.37
Chris Crawford	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	8	-10	17.2	14.1	3.07	15.7	14.7	1.02
Dan Dickau	14	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	11	-16	18.7	13.8	4.95	14.1	14.9	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.91,0.93,1,1,1	93.8%
LAC 83, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.9%
BKN 87, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%