NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	100		Excitement	8.1 [218]		MVP	Steve Blake (WAS): +10.1%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	56.5 [35]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -23.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	12	48%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jake Voskuhl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	5	67%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	44%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	5	33%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Joe Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	0.07	23	54%	-0.03	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.05
Shawn Marion	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.13,0.09,-0.01,-0.22,-0.23	-0.07	-0.17	-0.01	25	45%	-0.08	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.01	5	87%	0.18	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.12	-0.01	6	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.17,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.08	-0.02	18	55%	0.20	6	-0.17	6	50%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	9	66%	-0.03	3	-0.07	11	64%	-0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	11	46%	-0.01	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	47%	-0.03	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	14	25%	-0.18	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	30.4	0.2	28.0	1.6	36.9	126.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +44.2%

WAS +5.6%

WAS +15.5%

PHX -15.5%

WAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	13.8	13.9	15.7	96.2	101.0	100.5
season	14.6	15.2		99.6	96.4
opponent	15.3	15.9		102.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	15.4	11.3	14.7	13.8
WAS	14.8	14.6	14.0	12.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	19	19	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.14	-1	-4	3	13.8	13.7	0.11	13.2	14.1	-0.96
Jahidi White	39	37	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-6	7	13.4	14.0	-0.54	14.2	13.8	0.43
Howard Eisley	47	47	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-5	5	15.2	12.6	2.59	13.4	14.4	-0.98
Zarko Cabarkapa	9	9	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-8	11	17.4	13.4	4.04	14.8	13.9	0.91
Tom Gugliotta	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-5	5	14.5	13.7	0.79	16.1	13.7	2.39
Casey Jacobsen	91	91	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	13.2	17.9	-4.77	14.1	12.6	1.52
Joe Johnson	96	96	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-5	5	13.5	17.2	-3.79	14.0	13.4	0.61
Jake Voskuhl	55	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	-2	-1	14.2	13.2	0.96	14.3	13.5	0.79
Shawn Marion	87	88	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.33	-11	6	-17	13.7	13.9	-0.23	13.5	16.4	-2.95
Leandro Barbosa	66	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.39	-11	6	-17	13.2	14.7	-1.47	13.9	14.0	-0.05

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	55	55	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.53	11	-6	17	13.5	14.4	-0.96	14.2	13.3	0.88
Brendan Haywood	52	52	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-7	19	12.6	15.3	-2.65	15.0	12.5	2.54
Kwame Brown	70	69	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-5	15	14.2	13.4	0.88	13.6	14.1	-0.55
Larry Hughes	80	82	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-7	19	13.8	14.5	-0.67	14.2	12.1	2.10
Steve Blake	55	54	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	1	3	13.2	14.8	-1.61	13.7	13.8	-0.10
Brevin Knight	50	51	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.14	2	3	-1	14.5	13.4	1.07	13.6	13.9	-0.28
Etan Thomas	48	48	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.10	-5	10	-15	15.0	13.0	2.00	13.0	14.4	-1.35
Jared Jeffries	37	37	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.01	-11	16	-27	14.2	13.8	0.47	13.8	13.7	0.09
Jarvis Hayes	73	72	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.14	-10	15	-25	14.5	12.7	1.71	12.8	15.9	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.51,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.46,0.32,0.46,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 98, LAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.38,0.63,0.84,0.98,1	89.3%
MIN 84, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.68,0.73,1	88.8%
DET 107, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.28,0.55,0.73,1	88.7%