inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 104 Excitement5.4 [723] MVPTracy McGrady (ORL): +13.1%
Washington Wizards 100 Comeback1.2 [536] LVPJarvis Hayes (WAS): -16.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0.130,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.05-0.003156%0.151-0.01887%0.02
Drew Gooden0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.09-0.000.01875%0.0800.00475%-0.00
Juwan Howard0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.06-0.01-0.001566%0.092-0.02250%-0.01
Rod Strickland0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.01-0.00687%0.123-0.074100%0.03
Gordan Giricek0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00560%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Shammond Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Tyronn Lue-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.03831%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.03-0.03725%-0.083-0.0420%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.120.120.140.040.061377%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Mitchell Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00267%0.0200.002100%0.02
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.010.011244%0.011-0.041100%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.03-0.001056%0.011-0.04540%-0.04
Kwame Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.011350%-0.031-0.01475%-0.01
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.001100%0.023-0.0900%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.00625%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.020.041748%-0.083-0.0610100%0.05
Jarvis Hayes0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.030.021027%-0.112-0.052100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.20.229.90.731.01.830.3116.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +41.3%
WAS -0.1%
WAS -9.1%
ORL +17.5%
ORL +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLWASNBAORLWASNBA
this game14.916.215.7111.8108.7100.5
season15.715.2100.996.4
opponent15.315.4102.4108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.114.216.016.414.9
WAS16.915.817.514.916.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gordan Giricek52500.68-0.180.860.2116-122814.116.0-1.8715.617.0-1.49
Rod Strickland52510.59-0.090.670.2910-61614.715.2-0.4815.617.0-1.37
Juwan Howard71700.440.060.390.276-2814.815.1-0.2516.714.91.75
Tracy McGrady83830.360.140.210.44-37-1015.212.32.9216.315.31.00
Drew Gooden43430.330.170.160.108-41214.914.90.0116.715.90.77
Steven Hunter14140.240.26-0.01-0.0510-61613.215.2-1.9915.916.3-0.37
Keith Bogans66650.230.27-0.030.32-37-1015.613.12.5316.116.6-0.50
Tyronn Lue4343-0.090.59-0.670.18-913-2215.014.80.2716.516.00.51
Andrew DeClercq3534-0.140.65-0.790.15-1014-2414.715.0-0.3515.916.4-0.52
Shammond Williams67-0.150.65-0.790.00-59-1416.314.81.5319.616.03.61

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitchell Butler1717-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-71017.615.91.6515.414.80.62
Brevin Knight5858-0.11-0.390.28-0.265-91416.216.4-0.1815.713.72.00
Brendan Haywood1515-0.18-0.320.150.06-84-1216.416.20.1914.115.1-0.92
Kwame Brown7172-0.20-0.300.10-0.407-111815.917.3-1.3615.213.81.41
Jared Jeffries5758-0.21-0.290.09-0.15-2-2016.715.51.2614.715.2-0.52
Etan Thomas3535-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-62-817.015.81.2714.015.4-1.40
Juan Dixon4848-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.373-71016.016.5-0.4616.013.72.27
Larry Hughes6768-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.32-1-3215.917.1-1.1514.615.6-0.95
Steve Blake3435-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.12-95-1416.416.20.1813.715.7-2.00
Jarvis Hayes5859-0.550.05-0.60-0.20-128-2015.817.0-1.2514.715.3-0.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 92, NJN 750.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.29,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.2%
MEM 97, SAC 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,094.1%
DEN 120, PHX 1140.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,094.1%