NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	88		Excitement	2.5 [1216]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NYK): +13.0%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	1.1 [1125]		LVP	Vitaly Potapenko (SEA): -7.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	12	74%	0.12	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.02	0.05	14	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	9	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	4	29%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	56%	0.00	2	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	13	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	7	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	0.00	0.05	15	86%	0.17	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	13	69%	0.10	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.08	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	86%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	10	36%	-0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	26.8	17.6	25.2	2.6	30.3	126.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.0%

NYK +3.3%

NYK +1.3%

NYK +12.2%

SEA -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NYK	NBA	SEA	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	15.7	89.8	108.0	100.5
season	15.6	15.5		105.0	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.7		100.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.6	14.2	16.5	12.9	14.8
NYK	13.2	15.1	13.0	15.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richie Frahm	37	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.33	11	-31	42	13.7	15.4	-1.74	14.6	14.1	0.49
Jerome James	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-18	16	17.3	14.5	2.80	14.1	14.3	-0.25
Luke Ridnour	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-23	26	13.2	15.7	-2.52	14.8	14.0	0.71
Vitaly Potapenko	48	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-16	12	14.3	15.3	-0.97	15.7	13.0	2.70
Ray Allen	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-4	-12	15.7	13.8	1.89	15.0	13.6	1.36
Antonio Daniels	12	12	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-9	-2	16.6	14.5	2.05	12.1	14.6	-2.53
Vladimir Radmanovic	61	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.34	-20	0	-20	15.0	14.4	0.61	15.1	13.1	2.02
Reggie Evans	29	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-11	2	14.2	15.0	-0.82	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Brent Barry	56	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.23	-17	-3	-14	15.1	14.4	0.71	14.2	14.5	-0.25
Calvin Booth	35	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-9	-2	14.5	14.9	-0.38	12.5	15.3	-2.83
Rashard Lewis	65	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-5	-10	15.2	14.1	1.09	14.0	14.9	-0.85
Ronald Murray	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-11	2	14.7	14.9	-0.15	13.5	15.1	-1.57

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	60	57	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.40	33	-13	46	12.8	16.6	-3.77	15.6	13.6	2.02
Stephon Marbury	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.25	27	-7	34	13.4	16.6	-3.24	15.5	13.0	2.52
Allan Houston	65	63	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	-3	26	13.1	16.5	-3.39	15.7	13.1	2.69
Michael Doleac	34	34	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	9	2	14.3	14.3	-0.02	15.7	14.3	1.41
Keith Van Horn	58	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.23	17	3	14	14.2	14.5	-0.25	15.1	14.4	0.71
Anfernee Hardaway	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	18	-16	14.5	14.1	0.39	14.4	15.2	-0.84
Dikembe Mutombo	50	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.22	13	7	6	14.6	14.0	0.66	15.1	14.5	0.55
Frank Williams	14	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	23	-26	16.3	14.0	2.30	12.7	15.2	-2.50
Shandon Anderson	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	28	-36	15.6	13.9	1.76	13.8	15.1	-1.32
Michael Sweetney	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	13.9	14.4	-0.45	11.5	15.2	-3.65
Moochie Norris	32	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	23	-26	16.4	13.3	3.13	13.0	15.6	-2.66
Othella Harrington	29	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	29	-38	17.3	13.1	4.27	13.0	15.5	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
PHI 78, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIN 93, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%