NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	84		Excitement	5.2 [760]		MVP	Eddie Robinson (CHI): +6.8%
Chicago Bulls	89		Comeback	1.7 [881]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): -23.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	89%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Baron Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.06	27	48%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	7	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	8	57%	-0.03	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
David Wesley	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	12	27%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	56%	-0.07	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.06
Darrell Armstrong	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	11	41%	0.03	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.01	12	28%	-0.15	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	9	35%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	17	54%	0.12	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	59%	0.00	2	-0.03	14	93%	0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	28.0	16.6	24.1	0.8	35.2	129.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +32.0%

CHI +8.0%

NOH -3.7%

CHI +11.9%

CHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHI	NBA	NOH	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.7	88.4	92.7	100.5
season	16.0	15.2		99.3	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.3	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.2	15.1	15.7	15.0	15.0
CHI	15.2	13.2	16.3	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-10	15	13.4	15.2	-1.82	12.1	15.7	-3.64
David West	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	1	-7	14.5	15.0	-0.49	14.6	15.2	-0.61
George Lynch	44	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	1	-7	15.8	14.3	1.56	16.5	14.0	2.51
Stacey Augmon	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-7	9	14.2	15.7	-1.48	14.5	15.8	-1.22
Jamaal Magloire	63	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-6	7	16.1	12.8	3.22	16.4	12.9	3.51
Baron Davis	86	88	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-11	17	14.7	18.1	-3.46	15.5	11.6	3.88
Robert Traylor	32	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	1	-7	12.8	16.1	-3.22	12.9	16.4	-3.51
David Wesley	51	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	7	-19	15.6	14.2	1.36	15.4	14.9	0.45
P.J. Brown	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.24	-5	0	-5	15.3	13.7	1.56	15.4	14.2	1.17
Darrell Armstrong	53	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	14.9	15.1	-0.17	14.4	16.1	-1.65

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	56	55	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.07	21	-16	37	14.1	16.7	-2.65	15.5	14.2	1.30
Eddy Curry	60	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-6	17	14.2	16.8	-2.56	15.4	14.3	1.14
Ronald Dupree	53	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	-3	11	15.1	15.3	-0.27	14.8	15.2	-0.46
Kirk Hinrich	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	7	-9	15.8	13.8	2.00	16.2	12.5	3.75
Jamal Crawford	84	83	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.41	-5	10	-15	15.4	13.7	1.73	14.7	17.1	-2.41
Jerome Williams	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	-3	11	15.6	14.5	1.12	14.3	16.1	-1.79
Corie Blount	28	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	-1	7	12.5	16.3	-3.78	15.1	14.9	0.24
Rick Brunson	16	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	7	-9	13.3	15.5	-2.24	10.9	15.7	-4.88
Antonio Davis	47	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.40	-15	20	-35	17.4	13.0	4.45	15.2	14.8	0.46
Kendall Gill	15	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	10	-15	17.7	14.7	2.95	14.3	15.1	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.76,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.96,1	93.2%
PHI 91, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	93.1%
TOR 104, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.73,1	93.0%