NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	6.5 [499]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +14.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	2.2 [711]		LVP	Howard Eisley (PHX): -17.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	18	62%	0.16	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Donnell Harvey	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	12	67%	0.08	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	21	43%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	9	11%	-0.17	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.06	-0.08	21	52%	0.15	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.02	12	63%	0.14	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.03
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	64%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Santiago	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	65%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.04	9	40%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	5	37%	-0.07	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.07
Brian Skinner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	8	30%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	7	21%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	28.4	15.5	30.0	1.7	28.2	127.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +2.4%

MIL +6.0%

MIL +22.5%

MIL +19.3%

PHX -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.4	15.7	91.6	99.0	100.5
season	14.6	15.3		99.6	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	14.1	16.6	14.6	14.7
MIL	17.0	15.2	14.1	15.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-4	0	17.9	13.9	4.01	16.4	15.1	1.23
Jake Voskuhl	39	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-10	12	15.1	14.5	0.58	16.0	15.0	1.06
Tom Gugliotta	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-2	-4	11.6	15.1	-3.51	17.8	15.1	2.71
Leandro Barbosa	79	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-8	8	14.9	13.9	1.04	15.6	14.6	1.03
Jahidi White	33	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	16.3	13.9	2.35	15.9	15.2	0.72
Joe Johnson	82	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-5	2	14.9	13.8	1.12	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Casey Jacobsen	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	13.2	15.9	-2.71	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Howard Eisley	34	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	14.1	15.1	-1.01	15.6	15.3	0.31
Shawn Marion	89	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	14.7	14.7	0.07	15.3	17.0	-1.71
Antonio McDyess	46	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	1	-10	13.9	15.5	-1.56	13.8	17.0	-3.15

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	38	37	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-1	10	14.2	16.2	-2.08	15.7	14.1	1.58
Damon Jones	56	55	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	1	6	14.4	16.8	-2.41	14.6	14.9	-0.37
Desmond Mason	61	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	14.7	16.7	-2.04	14.9	14.4	0.47
Michael Redd	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-6	20	15.2	16.3	-1.11	14.8	14.5	0.33
Joe Smith	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	-1	10	15.7	15.1	0.53	15.1	14.3	0.86
Toni Kukoc	34	33	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	10	-12	16.1	15.0	1.04	14.3	15.0	-0.62
Tim Thomas	56	57	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.25	-6	14	-20	16.6	13.8	2.73	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Brian Skinner	51	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	5	-2	16.0	14.8	1.20	14.5	15.0	-0.49
T.J. Ford	57	56	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	6	-4	16.1	14.5	1.57	14.6	14.9	-0.36
Daniel Santiago	1	2	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	12	-16	19.0	15.4	3.62	7.5	14.9	-7.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.43,0.48,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.9%
GSW 101, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	92.8%
DET 85, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.5%