inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 96 Excitement6.6 [486] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +39.1%
Chicago Bulls 82 Comeback2.8 [197] LVPKendall Gill (CHI): -14.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.390,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.18,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.390.210.200.021390%0.421-0.033100%0.03
Rasho Nesterovic0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.010.05-0.031268%0.174-0.071100%0.01
Devin Brown0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.04-0.00471%0.061-0.006100%0.02
Tim Duncan0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.020.011457%0.082-0.06250%-0.01
Ron Mercer-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Hart-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.010100%0.001-0.022100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00117%-0.0500.00425%-0.04
Robert Horry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.01-0.00835%-0.031-0.03450%-0.02
Tony Parker-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.05-0.011254%0.024-0.0900%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.05-0.01625%-0.062-0.0500%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eddy Curry0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.05-0.011055%0.094-0.09989%0.01
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.021157%0.063-0.08667%-0.01
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.02-0.042647%0.103-0.12367%-0.01
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Linton Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0110%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00425%-0.081-0.03475%0.01
Eddie Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.100.00853%-0.012-0.111100%0.01
Kendall Gill0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.01942%-0.034-0.116100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.72.528.315.724.02.632.5130.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +52.1%
CHI -14.0%
CHI -14.3%
SAS +20.4%
SAS +5.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCHINBASASCHINBA
this game15.315.815.7103.289.1100.5
season15.915.2100.194.6
opponent15.415.8101.392.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.915.516.113.415.3
CHI18.216.415.913.315.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan81800.72-0.220.930.2217-32015.712.73.0516.610.75.92
Manu Ginobili70690.61-0.110.710.231311215.215.8-0.6715.616.6-1.00
Bruce Bowen66660.55-0.050.600.0218-42216.013.82.1816.514.22.26
Rasho Nesterovic72730.420.080.330.031311215.415.00.3615.816.0-0.23
Tony Parker75750.400.100.300.11104616.112.13.9816.114.81.29
Jason Hart18170.100.40-0.30-0.02410-612.116.1-3.9814.816.1-1.29
Hedo Turkoglu1716-0.000.50-0.510.03-115-1615.615.30.3316.215.70.53
Devin Brown2625-0.060.56-0.61-0.12212-1013.616.0-2.3713.516.7-3.21
Ron Mercer78-0.100.60-0.700.02-418-2216.715.21.5019.115.53.62
Robert Horry3331-0.130.63-0.76-0.07-216-1814.215.9-1.7713.916.8-2.84

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Williams38400.15-0.650.800.005-192414.616.7-2.1114.416.0-1.62
Corie Blount11130.03-0.530.57-0.084-182215.215.9-0.7216.115.20.88
Eddie Robinson6161-0.12-0.380.27-0.234-182215.815.80.0115.714.71.02
Kirk Hinrich6060-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-121014.717.8-3.0614.916.0-1.05
Linton Johnson2323-0.34-0.16-0.170.02-12-2-1017.915.12.8016.315.01.36
Kendall Gill5051-0.40-0.10-0.300.13-184-2216.315.31.0215.115.6-0.45
Jamal Crawford8182-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.11-12-2-1015.816.1-0.3115.315.30.06
Antonio Davis7473-0.570.07-0.64-0.07-173-2016.114.71.3615.813.62.19
Eddy Curry6262-0.620.12-0.730.03-228-3016.314.81.4615.016.0-0.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.05,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 94, NOP 870.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.33,0.44,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.33,0.15,0.03,0,092.5%
MIL 103, GSW 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.06,0.03,0,092.3%
BOS 106, MIL 990.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,092.2%