NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	102		Excitement	6.4 [527]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +9.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	2.0 [285]		LVP	Marko Jaric (LAC): -23.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.03	11	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Jason Collins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	8	78%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	45%	-0.04	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	9	56%	-0.00	6	-0.16	14	79%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	13	25%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.02	13	57%	0.04	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.07
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	9	57%	0.05	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	0.08	15	50%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	13	31%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	14	52%	-0.02	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.01	7	14%	-0.12	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	398.2	2.7	32.1	18.7	-687.9	3.6	36.2	-196.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +41.8%

NJN +0.6%

LAC -8.5%

NJN +13.9%

NJN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAC	NBA	NJN	LAC	NBA
this game	13.6	16.4	15.7	106.2	100.0	100.5
season	15.3	15.5		98.1	101.3
opponent	15.4	16.2		106.0	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.7	13.0	13.7	13.8	13.6
LAC	15.7	17.5	16.9	15.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	80	78	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-3	12	13.5	13.8	-0.30	16.5	16.1	0.47
Richard Jefferson	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-4	14	13.3	14.2	-0.93	16.8	15.7	1.12
Brian Scalabrine	30	30	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-5	16	14.0	13.4	0.59	15.5	16.9	-1.36
Jason Collins	62	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	2	2	12.0	16.4	-4.41	17.2	14.9	2.33
Lucious Harris	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	4	-2	15.5	12.1	3.45	15.1	17.5	-2.39
Jason Kidd	73	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	7	-8	12.5	16.8	-4.23	17.0	14.5	2.57
Aaron Williams	34	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	4	-2	16.4	12.0	4.41	14.9	17.2	-2.33
Kenyon Martin	60	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	11	-16	12.7	14.9	-2.21	17.0	15.4	1.63
Rodney Rogers	35	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	8	-10	15.1	12.7	2.44	15.7	16.9	-1.18

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	5	5	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-8	10	16.2	16.5	-0.25	15.6	13.5	2.15
Melvin Ely	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-3	0	14.0	17.1	-3.08	17.3	12.6	4.72
Corey Maggette	56	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-14	22	16.2	16.8	-0.58	13.4	13.8	-0.36
Quentin Richardson	50	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-10	14	15.3	17.7	-2.42	14.3	12.8	1.50
Keyon Dooling	45	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	17.5	15.5	2.02	12.8	14.3	-1.52
Chris Wilcox	59	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.14	-3	-3	0	17.9	14.1	3.79	13.1	14.2	-1.11
Predrag Drobnjak	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	17.6	14.8	2.76	12.6	14.8	-2.17
Chris Kaman	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-3	0	15.0	17.5	-2.51	14.6	12.8	1.83
Marko Jaric	60	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	2	-10	16.8	15.8	0.97	13.7	13.4	0.28
Doug Overton	47	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	15.3	17.6	-2.27	14.4	12.8	1.57
Bobby Simmons	42	43	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	10	-26	16.8	16.2	0.58	11.6	15.2	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, UTA 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.9%
MIN 107, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
TOR 95, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.4%