NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	88		Excitement	7.5 [305]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +14.1%
New Jersey Nets	85		Comeback	2.5 [266]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -21.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.11	0.03	16	56%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Baron Davis	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	27	44%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	12	35%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	10	40%	-0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.14	-0.02	15	44%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	10	30%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	10	35%	-0.14	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	29.1	15.6	25.2	1.8	30.2	127.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +61.1%

NJN -19.9%

NOH +22.2%

NJN -11.9%

NJN -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NJN	NBA	NOH	NJN	NBA
this game	17.8	15.3	15.7	102.3	96.6	100.5
season	16.0	15.3		99.3	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.7		95.2	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.9	19.7	18.5	17.2	17.8
NJN	15.4	12.4	17.6	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	71	73	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.40	20	-17	37	17.1	21.2	-4.13	16.4	10.4	5.96
Baron Davis	73	74	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.44	17	-14	31	18.0	16.8	1.20	15.8	12.9	2.87
Jamaal Magloire	62	63	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.35	17	-14	31	16.3	21.6	-5.26	16.2	13.3	2.88
George Lynch	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-5	13	17.6	18.6	-0.97	15.4	15.2	0.23
David Wesley	67	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.42	-3	6	-9	17.5	18.7	-1.21	15.1	16.2	-1.12
Steven Smith	18	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	8	-13	18.6	17.6	0.97	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Sean Rooks	16	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	6	-9	22.2	16.8	5.40	13.9	15.7	-1.72
Robert Traylor	8	9	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	14	-25	20.4	17.5	2.85	12.1	15.7	-3.60
Darrell Armstrong	32	35	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	11	-19	17.9	17.7	0.23	14.9	15.6	-0.76
David West	15	15	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	0.01	-17	20	-37	21.2	17.1	4.13	10.4	16.4	-5.96

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	50	48	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.18	13	-16	29	14.5	16.4	-1.95	18.5	16.9	1.65
Alonzo Mourning	26	25	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.10	9	-12	21	14.6	15.7	-1.08	18.3	17.6	0.69
Brandon Armstrong	27	28	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.13	9	-12	21	13.3	16.3	-3.00	19.1	17.2	1.90
Zoran Planinic	25	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.08	5	-8	13	16.2	15.0	1.26	18.0	17.7	0.29
Aaron Williams	25	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	0	-3	13.7	16.0	-2.26	18.7	17.4	1.27
Jason Collins	37	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	6	-15	17.0	14.2	2.82	16.9	18.5	-1.62
Jason Kidd	63	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	5	-13	15.0	16.2	-1.26	17.7	18.0	-0.29
Kenyon Martin	60	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	7	-17	16.4	13.1	3.28	17.5	18.4	-0.84
Richard Jefferson	66	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	6	-15	15.0	16.3	-1.24	17.5	18.7	-1.22
Kerry Kittles	61	58	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	9	-21	16.3	13.3	3.00	17.2	19.1	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, ORL 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.08,0	90.9%
MIA 85, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.04,0	90.7%
DET 118, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.07,0.06,0.01,0	90.7%