NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	7.1 [387]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +17.4%
New Jersey Nets	85		Comeback	1.9 [737]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -23.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Howard Eisley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.05	0.02	20	69%	0.17	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	27%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	11	50%	-0.01	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.02
Keith Van Horn	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.17	-0.01	0.13	-0.05	11	59%	0.21	2	-0.03	10	70%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.08	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	11	62%	0.07	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	36%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.10	-0.02	13	27%	-0.18	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	24.7	14.8	26.9	1.8	35.2	131.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.6%

NYK -5.2%

NJN +10.6%

NJN +14.1%

NJN +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.7	82.5	87.6	100.5
season	15.5	15.3		98.6	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.8		95.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	14.8	15.2	14.3	14.8
NJN	13.2	16.5	16.1	13.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	8	7	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-7	9	18.2	14.5	3.74	14.0	14.9	-0.94
Michael Sweetney	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-4	3	15.3	14.8	0.54	18.0	14.5	3.48
Othella Harrington	13	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-4	3	14.4	14.9	-0.50	15.4	14.8	0.59
Michael Doleac	55	56	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-5	5	15.1	14.5	0.55	14.2	15.8	-1.57
Howard Eisley	57	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-5	5	15.2	14.3	0.88	14.3	15.7	-1.49
Frank Williams	18	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	15.2	14.7	0.50	13.6	15.1	-1.56
Keith Van Horn	60	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.27	2	-7	9	15.8	13.2	2.63	15.1	14.5	0.66
Charlie Ward	36	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-4	3	13.9	15.3	-1.38	15.1	14.7	0.33
Shandon Anderson	43	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	3	-11	13.2	16.1	-2.93	14.9	14.8	0.06
Kurt Thomas	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	0	-5	14.9	14.5	0.42	15.4	12.5	2.92
Allan Houston	82	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.34	-2	-3	1	14.7	15.6	-0.93	15.0	14.2	0.77
Clar. Weatherspoon	23	21	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	2	-9	13.9	15.1	-1.18	14.3	15.0	-0.75

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	81	81	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-2	9	15.3	12.9	2.32	15.2	12.7	2.47
Jason Kidd	73	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	0	5	15.1	14.2	0.94	15.7	12.4	3.31
Richard Jefferson	75	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	-1	7	14.5	16.3	-1.81	15.1	13.7	1.46
Jason Collins	64	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	14.6	15.4	-0.83	15.5	13.4	2.10
Zoran Planinic	29	30	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	-2	9	14.5	15.0	-0.51	13.5	15.4	-1.95
Alonzo Mourning	33	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	-1	7	15.4	14.6	0.83	13.4	15.5	-2.10
Kerry Kittles	82	82	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	9	-13	14.7	15.6	-0.86	14.4	17.1	-2.74
Brandon Armstrong	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	3	-1	15.3	14.8	0.47	16.2	14.7	1.54
Aaron Williams	38	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	8	-11	14.9	14.9	-0.01	13.3	15.8	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.77,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.97,0.98,1	93.2%
MIA 85, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.95,1	93.1%
NYK 77, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.93,0.91,1	92.7%