NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	97		Excitement	3.2 [1152]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +13.8%
Dallas Mavericks	125		Comeback	1.0 [1252]		LVP	George Lynch (NOH): -9.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	17	74%	0.14	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.04	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	67%	-0.00	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Steven Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.07	12	67%	0.00	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	10	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	7	113%	0.16	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.01	-0.07	20	48%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	82%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	12	72%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	117%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	16	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	3	12%	-0.03	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	26.1	16.5	24.2	1.8	28.2	126.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +29.1%

NOH -1.7%

DAL +9.7%

DAL +10.6%

DAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DAL	NBA	NOH	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	13.9	15.7	103.2	130.2	100.5
season	16.0	14.6		99.3	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.0	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.8	17.1	19.0	15.2	16.4
DAL	12.4	17.1	13.7	13.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-27	26	14.7	16.6	-1.91	10.7	14.3	-3.61
Darrell Armstrong	51	53	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-29	30	15.5	17.4	-1.89	15.1	12.5	2.61
Robert Traylor	37	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-32	36	15.7	16.9	-1.17	13.7	14.0	-0.33
Steven Smith	40	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-20	12	15.1	17.4	-2.25	14.0	13.9	0.08
David West	38	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.32	-16	-12	-4	15.4	17.1	-1.67	13.1	14.5	-1.42
Jamaal Magloire	43	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-25	22	18.0	15.1	2.88	14.7	13.3	1.35
Sean Rooks	17	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.30	-17	-11	-6	14.1	16.9	-2.80	13.5	14.0	-0.48
George Lynch	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.21	-20	-8	-12	17.4	15.1	2.25	13.9	14.0	-0.08
P.J. Brown	53	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.29	-24	-4	-20	17.1	15.5	1.56	14.2	13.5	0.65
Baron Davis	64	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.25	-23	-5	-18	16.7	15.8	0.90	14.1	13.5	0.65
David Wesley	62	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.40	-33	5	-38	17.1	15.0	2.10	13.3	15.2	-1.87

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	71	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.44	34	-6	40	13.6	14.9	-1.34	16.7	15.5	1.23
Dirk Nowitzki	61	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.31	29	-1	30	13.4	14.9	-1.51	16.5	16.3	0.24
Steve Nash	63	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.42	31	-3	34	13.8	14.2	-0.43	17.1	15.1	1.96
Danny Fortson	44	43	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.25	25	3	22	13.1	14.6	-1.50	17.8	15.2	2.62
Antoine Walker	69	66	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.31	22	6	16	14.5	12.5	2.01	16.5	16.3	0.13
Antawn Jamison	52	53	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	19	-10	15.3	12.3	2.93	16.3	16.6	-0.26
Josh Howard	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	29	-30	11.9	14.3	-2.46	15.4	16.6	-1.18
Marquis Daniels	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	30	-32	12.3	14.3	-2.03	15.0	16.7	-1.75
Shawn Bradley	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	25	-22	10.7	14.3	-3.61	14.9	16.6	-1.70
Travis Best	48	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	31	-34	15.4	12.5	2.94	15.5	17.3	-1.88
Eduardo Najera	27	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	35	-42	14.7	13.6	1.13	15.4	16.8	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, MIA 124	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NYK 93, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NJN 95, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%