inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 81 Excitement8.2 [212] MVPAntawn Jamison (DAL): +14.3%
San Antonio Spurs 78 Comeback2.0 [376] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -35.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.140.040.10-0.001556%0.1400.00667%-0.03
Steve Nash0.080,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.08-0.010.08-0.011258%0.143-0.06250%-0.01
Danny Fortson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Delk-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.001248%0.011-0.0210%-0.01
Shawn Bradley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02050%-0.031-0.00250%-0.03
Eduardo Najera-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Travis Best-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.0250%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.05-0.00839%-0.0700.002100%0.02
Antoine Walker-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.17-0.09-0.11-0.031237%-0.113-0.0600%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.350,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.25,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35-0.15-0.180.031839%-0.125-0.2320%-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.09,0.090.09-0.100.18-0.011123%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01150%-0.011-0.012100%0.02
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.001647%-0.032-0.044100%0.01
Shane Heal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.01437%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.05-0.011050%0.043-0.1300%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.07-0.02839%-0.051-0.05250%-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00735%-0.1100.00683%0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22-0.22-0.11-0.110.001227%-0.201-0.02250%-0.02
Malik Rose0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.29-0.29-0.08-0.210.011453%-0.044-0.261080%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.630.116.625.22.429.4129.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +25.7%
SAS -15.3%
DAL +19.6%
DAL +23.0%
SAS -3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game14.317.615.788.087.6100.5
season14.615.9109.2100.1
opponent15.815.692.7105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL12.414.114.516.614.3
SAS17.915.919.117.717.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison58580.63-0.130.760.408-51315.312.62.6817.218.2-0.95
Steve Nash72700.54-0.040.580.4821114.015.3-1.2717.418.2-0.74
Dirk Nowitzki77730.450.050.410.3730314.712.32.3517.617.20.39
Michael Finley70660.450.050.400.3921114.214.6-0.4418.315.62.71
Antoine Walker68650.300.200.100.2421114.015.3-1.3418.216.02.15
Danny Fortson760.200.30-0.100.1421115.414.21.2217.717.60.10
Eduardo Najera27270.030.47-0.430.06-14-514.314.3-0.0116.817.9-1.09
Shawn Bradley570.010.49-0.470.0103-311.614.5-2.8614.317.9-3.57
Travis Best1818-0.000.50-0.50-0.0312-115.114.10.9317.917.50.40
Tony Delk5855-0.120.62-0.75-0.01-47-1113.615.6-2.0417.218.2-1.02

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Brown990.09-0.590.680.032-5718.917.41.4614.314.30.03
Shane Heal2021-0.11-0.390.270.06-63-918.717.21.4514.714.20.47
Bruce Bowen6064-0.11-0.390.27-0.327-101717.318.2-0.9414.713.31.46
Rasho Nesterovic5860-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-2117.717.40.2913.815.2-1.40
Jason Hart6768-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.432-5717.617.50.1014.513.60.92
Hedo Turkoglu4241-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.08-107-1717.517.6-0.1413.315.1-1.82
Robert Horry4646-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.30-30-317.217.9-0.6915.213.41.78
Malik Rose7478-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.38-2-1-117.716.90.7714.215.1-0.99
Manu Ginobili6973-0.610.11-0.73-0.50-41-517.418.3-0.9414.214.9-0.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.24,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 103, POR 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.32,0.47,090.9%
BKN 88, NYK 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.28,090.9%
GSW 102, NOP 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.39,0.16,0.23,0.17,090.7%