NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	72		Excitement	4.9 [836]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +8.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	1.2 [1024]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): -20.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Popeye Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	11	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	29%	-0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	18	46%	-0.02	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	8	17%	-0.10	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	14	53%	-0.01	5	-0.12	4	25%	-0.05
Mike Dunleavy	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.20	-0.03	-0.02	18	27%	-0.14	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	12	72%	0.16	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	9	67%	0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	13	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	19	41%	-0.02	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.3	24.5	15.8	28.2	2.5	30.2	128.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.3%

LAL +8.7%

LAL +1.5%

LAL +3.2%

GSW -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	18.3	13.6	15.7	80.0	95.6	100.5
season	16.1	15.4		100.8	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	19.2	21.6	15.3	17.8	18.3
LAL	13.0	12.7	12.4	16.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-15	15	0.0	18.3	-18.29	6.0	13.6	-7.64
Dan Langhi	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.07	-3	-12	9	19.1	18.2	0.91	12.8	13.7	-0.85
Avery Johnson	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-10	5	17.9	18.4	-0.56	14.3	13.3	1.00
Mike Dunleavy	64	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	18.0	19.0	-1.05	14.5	11.4	3.01
Speedy Claxton	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-3	-9	17.6	19.4	-1.79	11.9	16.1	-4.13
Brian Cardinal	41	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-8	1	19.0	17.7	1.31	13.5	13.6	-0.11
Clifford Robinson	84	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-6	-3	18.5	15.3	3.17	13.8	9.0	4.83
Calbert Cheaney	87	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.13	-13	-2	-11	18.7	5.3	13.40	13.9	5.0	8.85
Erick Dampier	86	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.03	-18	3	-21	18.0	24.7	-6.76	13.4	16.6	-3.22

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	77	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-2	19	12.9	17.4	-4.49	17.3	24.9	-7.65
Karl Malone	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	1	13	13.4	14.1	-0.69	18.1	18.9	-0.77
Gary Payton	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	1	13	12.5	16.9	-4.42	17.2	21.5	-4.31
Kobe Bryant	69	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.01	13	2	11	13.0	15.4	-2.44	17.2	22.5	-5.30
Devean George	63	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	2	11	13.5	13.7	-0.27	16.9	21.5	-4.56
Derek Fisher	31	29	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	10	-5	15.3	12.7	2.62	20.8	17.1	3.64
Bryon Russell	19	18	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	11	-7	15.8	13.0	2.82	24.6	16.7	7.90
Luke Walton	8	8	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	14	-13	8.7	14.0	-5.27	23.4	17.8	5.58
Kareem Rush	21	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	16	-17	16.6	12.6	3.98	21.4	17.5	3.97
Horace Grant	26	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.14	-5	20	-25	15.9	12.6	3.31	20.0	17.6	2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CHA 78, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%
SEA 77, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%