NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	81		Excitement	5.5 [690]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +5.4%
Houston Rockets	66		Comeback	2.5 [298]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -30.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	13	70%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.02	-0.03	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	12	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	12	31%	-0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	11	33%	-0.10	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.05	-0.01	20	29%	-0.16	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.00	13	21%	-0.21	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	25.3	16.3	25.0	2.7	30.3	126.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +66.7%

POR +4.6%

HOU -29.9%

POR +7.4%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	19.7	15.5	101.2	82.5	101.6
season	16.0	16.3		104.3	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		100.4	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	14.2	16.6	20.9	16.3
HOU	16.7	23.7	21.1	17.9	19.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	59	60	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.03	23	-8	31	16.1	16.9	-0.79	19.7	19.6	0.10
Rasheed Wallace	65	65	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.01	20	-5	25	16.4	15.7	0.67	20.0	18.4	1.63
Jeff McInnis	40	40	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	-1	17	17.7	14.8	2.90	19.8	19.7	0.10
Damon Stoudamire	59	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	9	-3	16.8	14.8	1.99	19.1	21.3	-2.20
Arvydas Sabonis	36	36	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.13	14	1	13	16.7	15.9	0.76	20.3	19.3	1.01
Dale Davis	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	14	-13	15.9	16.7	-0.76	19.3	20.3	-1.01
Antonio Daniels	16	15	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	6	3	13.1	17.1	-4.02	23.3	18.9	4.44
Derek Anderson	45	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	16	-17	15.4	17.3	-1.90	19.3	20.4	-1.09
Zach Randolph	15	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	20	-25	15.7	16.4	-0.67	18.4	20.0	-1.63
Qyntel Woods	21	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	23	-31	16.9	16.1	0.79	19.6	19.7	-0.10

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	53	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-12	9	19.2	20.9	-1.70	16.3	16.3	-0.03
Maurice Taylor	47	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-10	5	18.6	21.4	-2.79	16.2	16.4	-0.17
Moochie Norris	15	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-6	-3	23.3	18.9	4.44	13.1	17.1	-4.02
James Posey	54	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-14	13	19.4	20.3	-0.86	16.1	16.6	-0.50
Glen Rice	26	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	-1	-13	20.3	19.4	0.86	16.6	16.1	0.50
Steve Francis	72	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-9	3	18.7	29.2	-10.58	16.7	12.8	3.94
Eddie Griffin	33	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-5	-5	21.4	18.6	2.79	16.4	16.2	0.17
Kelvin Cato	27	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-3	-9	20.9	19.2	1.70	16.3	16.3	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	73	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	0	-15	20.0	16.6	3.46	16.5	13.4	3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 111, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
UTA 92, ATL 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.9%
UTA 103, DET 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.8%