NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	99		Excitement	5.1 [767]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +18.0%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	1.3 [1181]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): -24.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donnell Harvey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	59%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vincent Yarbrough	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	12	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	24	46%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Shammond Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	13	52%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	57%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	11	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	13	34%	-0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.03	0.05	24	73%	0.21	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	70%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.04	5	-0.11	5	60%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.22	-0.03	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	7	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	30.6	17.3	24.0	2.0	34.0	133.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +48.1%

GSW +12.8%

GSW +4.5%

DEN -14.9%

DEN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	13.6	15.5	98.0	103.9	101.6
season	15.7	14.6		90.4	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.8	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.0	16.4	16.0	14.1	14.8
GSW	12.7	12.4	16.0	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Junior Harrington	44	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-6	5	15.3	14.4	0.93	14.1	13.2	0.93
Chris Andersen	36	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-5	3	14.8	14.8	0.05	14.5	13.1	1.38
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	20	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	14.5	14.8	-0.34	9.8	14.6	-4.78
Donnell Harvey	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	14.9	14.7	0.17	14.7	12.8	1.89
Rodney White	51	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	14.6	15.0	-0.41	13.4	13.8	-0.35
Vincent Yarbrough	62	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-8	9	15.0	14.5	0.51	14.0	12.9	1.18
Juwan Howard	74	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-9	11	14.7	15.1	-0.41	13.9	12.9	0.93
Shammond Williams	63	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-6	5	14.3	15.6	-1.34	12.7	15.2	-2.49
Nene	47	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	4	-15	14.6	14.9	-0.25	13.8	13.4	0.42
Marcus Camby	63	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	1	-9	15.1	14.2	0.90	13.4	14.0	-0.58

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	91	92	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-3	13	14.1	9.2	4.96	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Jason Richardson	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-4	15	12.9	15.2	-2.30	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Adonal Foyle	55	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	2	3	12.3	15.1	-2.74	15.0	14.5	0.54
Gilbert Arenas	72	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	0	7	13.3	14.4	-1.07	14.5	15.4	-0.93
Bob Sura	49	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	7	-7	13.0	14.1	-1.09	14.7	14.8	-0.16
Troy Murphy	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	0	7	14.1	13.0	1.09	14.8	14.7	0.16
Earl Boykins	41	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	10	-13	13.0	14.0	-1.06	15.5	14.3	1.16
Erick Dampier	47	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	15.1	12.3	2.74	14.5	15.0	-0.54
Mike Dunleavy	30	28	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	11	-15	15.2	12.9	2.30	15.1	14.6	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	96.0%
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 92, SAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%