NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	81		Excitement	2.6 [1214]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +11.0%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	1.0 [1262]		LVP	Shammond Williams (DEN): -8.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Donnell Harvey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	83%	0.03	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Predrag Savovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Rodney White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	11	44%	0.00	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	57%	-0.00	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.05	11	92%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	75%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	67%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.05	5	71%	0.07	5	-0.06	7	86%	0.04
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	10	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	14	71%	0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	6	31%	-0.04	3	-0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.5	31.2	14.8	32.0	2.0	29.7	139.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +24.2%

UTA +4.9%

UTA +10.7%

UTA +9.4%

UTA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.5	85.3	103.1	101.6
season	15.7	16.3		90.4	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.3		101.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.8	15.1	14.7	13.6	15.0
UTA	15.3	14.3	15.9	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Savovic	19	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	11.2	15.9	-4.72	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Vincent Yarbrough	34	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-22	26	13.3	15.9	-2.64	15.0	15.3	-0.26
Donnell Harvey	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-15	12	16.3	14.6	1.72	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Rodney White	45	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-16	14	14.3	15.6	-1.33	15.5	14.9	0.65
Chris Andersen	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.22	-12	-6	-6	14.8	15.1	-0.34	15.2	15.2	-0.00
Ryan Bowen	15	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-5	-8	15.5	14.9	0.65	15.9	15.0	0.91
Shammond Williams	59	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-8	-2	14.7	15.4	-0.73	14.9	15.7	-0.86
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	57	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-9	0	14.0	16.5	-2.52	15.0	15.4	-0.46
Juwan Howard	47	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-4	-10	15.8	14.2	1.58	15.7	14.7	1.00
Junior Harrington	44	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	0	-18	16.8	13.4	3.36	15.1	15.2	-0.18
Nene	61	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	-6	-6	15.3	14.5	0.76	14.9	15.6	-0.68

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	67	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.29	28	-10	38	14.8	16.1	-1.34	15.4	14.0	1.45
Matt Harpring	66	64	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.18	24	-6	30	15.0	15.5	-0.48	15.6	13.7	1.90
Calbert Cheaney	77	76	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	-3	24	15.8	12.5	3.36	15.7	12.2	3.47
John Stockton	43	43	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.20	23	-5	28	14.4	15.8	-1.31	16.2	14.0	2.14
Greg Ostertag	34	33	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	5	8	16.9	14.2	2.70	16.5	14.2	2.34
Tony Massenburg	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	9	0	13.8	16.0	-2.21	16.5	14.0	2.52
Mark Jackson	45	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.17	-5	23	-28	15.5	14.9	0.56	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Andrei Kirilenko	42	43	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	20	-22	14.8	15.4	-0.59	13.7	16.0	-2.32
Carlos Arroyo	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	17.4	15.0	2.41	10.1	15.4	-5.31
Scott Padgett	35	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	22	-26	15.7	14.9	0.82	14.0	15.6	-1.61
John Amaechi	4	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	22	-26	12.2	15.3	-3.04	6.7	15.4	-8.60
DeShawn Stevenson	22	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.32	-13	31	-44	14.5	15.4	-0.92	10.1	16.5	-6.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 83, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
DET 102, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHI 94, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%