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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 92 Excitement5.9 [593] MVPWally Szczerbiak (MIN): +26.6%
Dallas Mavericks 83 Comeback1.0 [270] LVPMichael Finley (DAL): -16.4%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0.270,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.270.060.220.011767%0.364-0.106100%0.01
Kevin Garnett0.190,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.190.140.04-0.022066%0.1900.00743%-0.04
Kendall Gill0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.01757%0.0600.0000%0.00
Gary Trent-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Peeler-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Troy Hudson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00850%0.022-0.052100%0.00
Marc Jackson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.02233%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.011139%-0.0600.00683%0.00
Mike Wilks-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.0020%-0.041-0.0400%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.160.160.060.120.023351%0.1600.00683%0.01
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03945%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00150%-0.021-0.03475%-0.00
Walt Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.04-0.0220%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.01520%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.001032%-0.092-0.042100%0.02
Steve Nash0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.03-0.011331%-0.074-0.0900%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.05,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.17-0.07-0.072730%-0.151-0.01250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.326.416.324.31.834.2128.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +81.0%
DAL -3.4%
DAL -30.9%
MIN +0.8%
MIN +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDALNBAMINDALNBA
this game16.516.715.5107.095.4101.6
season14.915.1104.0108.6
opponent15.315.8102.0102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.515.617.317.716.5
DAL17.219.514.815.716.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic64650.66-0.160.810.2215-62116.716.00.8017.813.54.29
Troy Hudson78770.64-0.140.790.2613-41716.319.2-2.9817.312.25.14
Anthony Peeler55560.61-0.110.72-0.0121-123315.119.2-4.1416.317.5-1.24
Kevin Garnett73740.61-0.110.720.0818-92716.616.10.5516.716.8-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak79800.51-0.010.520.1911-21315.824.4-8.5816.519.3-2.76
Kendall Gill3635-0.100.60-0.700.19-1019-2917.515.91.5916.317.1-0.82
Gary Trent2020-0.120.62-0.740.20-1120-3119.015.83.2017.616.51.17
Mike Wilks810-0.140.64-0.79-0.03-413-1719.216.32.9812.217.3-5.14
Marc Jackson1718-0.170.67-0.840.07-817-2518.616.02.6215.217.2-1.99

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walt Williams21220.20-0.700.90-0.048-172515.417.2-1.7418.615.82.75
Adrian Griffin15150.07-0.570.63-0.085-141917.816.51.2716.516.5-0.02
Shawn Bradley2624-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-6316.716.8-0.0815.117.1-2.03
Raja Bell1617-0.21-0.290.070.11-112-1318.216.41.8414.217.1-2.95
Nick Van Exel5453-0.25-0.250.00-0.281-101117.116.11.0617.415.12.31
Raef LaFrentz3434-0.28-0.22-0.070.01-101-1117.516.31.1916.116.8-0.76
Eduardo Najera4947-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.330-9915.917.9-1.9916.816.20.58
Dirk Nowitzki8280-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.28-4-5116.914.82.0716.911.85.07
Steve Nash6464-0.570.07-0.64-0.16-145-1916.617.2-0.6415.918.3-2.38
Michael Finley7474-0.620.12-0.74-0.12-178-2516.617.8-1.2016.516.7-0.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.15,0.06,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 109, LAC 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.07,0.03,0.09,093.2%
WAS 95, POR 910.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.08,092.5%
IND 98, WAS 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.36,0.21,0.11,0.09,092.3%