NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	123		Excitement	11.1 [28]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): +47.1%
New Orleans Hornets	125		Comeback	2.4 [604]		LVP	Robert Pack (NOH): -9.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	13	61%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	12	59%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Mike Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	17	68%	0.19	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.07
Mike Batiste	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.01,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	75%	0.13	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,-0.21,-0.21,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.01	9	67%	0.28	2	-0.32	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	16	47%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,-0.15,-0.15,0,0,0.15,0.47	0.47	0.16	0.33	0.02	33	64%	0.67	3	-0.20	12	100%	0.18
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.14	0.01	24	67%	0.38	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	12	75%	0.29	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	11	62%	0.12	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.03
Kirk Haston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	2.6	29.2	15.4	25.0	1.8	39.1	2.5	13.1	155.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +8.0%

NOH +28.1%

NOH +2.6%

NOH +8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOH	NBA	MEM	NOH	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.5	120.6	121.4	101.6
season	15.3	15.9		101.8	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.2		99.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	16.1	13.6	16.2	14.2	16.1	15.1
NOH	15.2	16.4	16.5	15.2	17.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Batiste	29	26	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.15	17	-19	36	13.0	15.9	-2.95	18.0	15.3	2.70
Earl Watson	35	35	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.10	14	-16	30	13.0	16.2	-3.16	17.2	15.3	1.95
Michael Dickerson	19	18	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.14	13	-15	28	13.6	15.4	-1.78	19.8	15.1	4.65
Stromile Swift	42	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.25	6	-8	14	13.9	15.9	-2.04	17.1	15.2	1.96
Mike Miller	58	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.29	6	-8	14	14.8	15.5	-0.70	16.9	14.7	2.16
Pau Gasol	68	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	14	-30	15.9	13.5	2.37	14.9	18.3	-3.39
Shane Battier	35	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	5	-12	15.6	14.8	0.79	15.1	16.4	-1.36
Lorenzen Wright	70	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.27	-10	8	-18	15.6	13.9	1.66	15.2	17.8	-2.62
Wesley Person	78	80	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.33	-15	13	-28	15.6	13.5	2.12	15.0	19.1	-4.05
Jason Williams	67	68	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.34	-16	14	-30	16.2	13.0	3.16	15.3	17.2	-1.95

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	84	83	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.42	15	-13	28	15.5	18.1	-2.59	15.8	12.1	3.72
P.J. Brown	87	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-3	8	15.9	16.2	-0.29	15.7	12.1	3.55
David Wesley	93	92	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.35	8	-6	14	15.9	16.7	-0.84	15.3	13.4	1.86
Jamal Mashburn	90	90	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	-4	10	15.6	18.5	-2.97	15.2	14.1	1.13
Stacey Augmon	41	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	2	-2	16.0	15.9	0.18	14.2	15.6	-1.40
George Lynch	54	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	-6	14	14.9	17.0	-2.10	16.2	13.8	2.39
Jerome Moiso	16	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	5	-8	16.2	15.9	0.29	12.1	15.7	-3.55
Robert Pack	25	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.12	-9	11	-20	18.3	15.2	3.14	13.5	15.6	-2.12
Kirk Haston	7	7	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	9	-16	21.4	15.5	5.89	10.7	15.4	-4.69
Robert Traylor	18	18	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.07	-13	15	-28	17.8	15.6	2.22	12.7	15.6	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.54,0.64,0.45,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.92,0.98,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.32,0.58,1	90.3%
SAC 95, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.96,1	89.9%
PHI 102, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.74,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.73,1	89.3%