NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	80		Excitement	2.4 [1229]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (DET): +8.6%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	1.3 [1048]		LVP	Andre Miller (LAC): -7.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	74%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	8	37%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	12	58%	-0.01	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	53%	-0.01	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.04	14	58%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	125%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	10	40%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	14	31%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	17	44%	-0.02	3	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	25.5	16.7	23.3	1.8	23.4	117.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +38.7%

LAC -0.2%

DET +5.8%

DET +8.0%

LAC -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	16.9	15.5	88.9	98.9	101.6
season	15.4	16.8		100.2	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.4		97.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	15.2	15.8	13.8	15.1
DET	15.2	14.8	19.2	18.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	54	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.39	10	-19	29	14.7	15.5	-0.79	18.6	14.6	4.04
Chris Wilcox	31	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-16	23	13.9	15.7	-1.81	17.8	16.6	1.20
Melvin Ely	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.46	11	-20	31	15.3	14.7	0.55	19.1	14.1	5.02
Keyon Dooling	24	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-7	5	16.2	14.7	1.52	17.0	16.9	0.08
Andre Miller	66	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	14.7	16.2	-1.52	16.9	17.0	-0.08
Eric Piatkowski	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-5	1	14.6	15.8	-1.17	17.2	16.5	0.74
Sean Rooks	40	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.22	-20	11	-31	14.7	15.3	-0.55	14.1	19.1	-5.02
Elton Brand	59	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	7	-23	15.7	13.9	1.81	16.6	17.8	-1.20
Lamar Odom	48	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	9	-27	15.0	15.1	-0.03	16.3	17.8	-1.49
Corey Maggette	36	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	10	-29	15.5	14.7	0.79	14.6	18.6	-4.04

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	72	70	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.06	17	-8	25	16.4	18.9	-2.50	15.6	13.2	2.32
Tayshaun Prince	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	3	3	17.4	16.5	0.92	14.6	15.5	-0.92
Chucky Atkins	48	48	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	5	-1	16.9	17.0	-0.06	14.1	16.2	-2.08
Jon Barry	28	29	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	-2	13	16.0	17.4	-1.32	15.8	14.7	1.04
Clifford Robinson	63	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	2	5	17.0	16.8	0.24	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Corliss Williamson	46	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	13	-17	17.6	16.3	1.31	15.3	14.7	0.60
Richard Hamilton	53	53	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	1	7	16.9	16.9	-0.00	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Chauncey Billups	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	4	1	17.0	16.9	0.06	16.2	14.1	2.08
Michael Curry	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	8	-7	16.5	17.3	-0.85	15.8	14.5	1.26
Danny Manning	2	3	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	9	-9	13.5	17.0	-3.52	4.7	15.4	-10.75
Hubert Davis	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	19	-29	20.2	16.5	3.66	12.7	15.3	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, HOU 127	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHA 90, GSW 137	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DAL 90, PHX 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%