NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	89		Excitement	5.6 [665]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): +8.5%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.1 [804]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (ORL): -19.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	37	48%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jeryl Sasser	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	10	36%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Burke	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	0.06	11	40%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	10	23%	-0.12	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	14	59%	0.13	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	16	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.09	-0.01	6	50%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.12
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.05	3	-0.10	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	31.0	15.8	23.5	2.0	34.1	129.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +59.5%

ATL +15.0%

ORL -9.9%

ORL -16.1%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	15.5	98.9	105.4	101.6
season	14.6	15.1		102.7	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.3	16.0	16.7	16.2	16.3
ATL	14.3	18.2	16.0	13.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	13	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-7	6	14.5	16.6	-2.07	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Jeryl Sasser	22	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-9	10	17.4	16.0	1.39	15.5	15.3	0.20
Pat Burke	21	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-12	16	17.8	15.9	1.89	17.3	14.8	2.56
Darrell Armstrong	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-7	6	15.7	16.7	-1.02	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Andrew DeClercq	20	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-8	8	18.0	15.8	2.17	16.3	15.1	1.22
Shawn Kemp	48	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-1	-6	17.4	15.1	2.32	16.7	13.9	2.76
Mike Miller	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	0	-8	15.9	18.1	-2.19	15.1	16.3	-1.17
Jacque Vaughn	66	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	15.7	18.0	-2.36	14.2	18.5	-4.32
Pat Garrity	69	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	4	-16	15.9	17.8	-1.89	15.2	16.1	-0.95
Tracy McGrady	83	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	1	-10	16.4	15.7	0.65	15.2	17.3	-2.10

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	79	77	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-3	14	14.3	21.5	-7.12	16.1	17.5	-1.43
Dion Glover	72	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-3	14	14.2	19.3	-5.11	16.3	16.3	-0.05
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	0	8	16.0	13.3	2.73	16.9	14.2	2.73
Theo Ratliff	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	2	4	13.7	18.8	-5.17	16.3	16.4	-0.10
Glenn Robinson	75	74	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	8	-8	14.4	19.5	-5.06	16.2	17.0	-0.84
Darvin Ham	8	7	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	3	2	16.4	15.2	1.12	15.9	16.3	-0.49
Nazr Mohammed	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	6	-4	18.8	13.7	5.17	16.4	16.3	0.10
Alan Henderson	26	24	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	6	-4	18.3	14.2	4.07	16.4	16.3	0.14
Corey Benjamin	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	13	-18	16.2	15.0	1.12	14.7	16.9	-2.26
Dan Dickau	13	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	11	-14	21.5	14.3	7.12	17.5	16.1	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.92,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
HOU 84, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.6,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.1%
DEN 85, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.95,0.89,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.1%