NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	5.6 [670]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +17.4%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	1.3 [825]		LVP	Dan Dickau (ATL): -14.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	8	69%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.02	25	53%	0.07	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Corey Benjamin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	17	60%	0.04	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.03
Dion Glover	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	8	45%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dan Dickau	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	8	78%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	15	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	17	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	16	59%	0.03	2	-0.08	9	100%	0.04
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	27.0	16.5	22.6	2.4	32.5	127.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.4%

NYK +1.2%

ATL -3.1%

NYK +4.7%

NYK +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.5	106.5	112.0	101.6
season	15.1	15.6		99.5	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	17.7	17.1	15.6	16.1
NYK	15.2	14.2	16.4	15.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-5	5	13.8	16.3	-2.56	13.9	15.4	-1.47
Dion Glover	65	66	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.36	10	-15	25	16.0	16.3	-0.24	16.2	12.7	3.52
Darvin Ham	10	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-1	-3	18.0	15.9	2.15	11.9	15.6	-3.69
Jason Terry	58	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-7	9	15.8	16.6	-0.80	16.1	13.6	2.54
Nazr Mohammed	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-5	5	14.8	16.6	-1.78	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Theo Ratliff	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-4	3	16.1	16.0	0.12	16.5	13.7	2.77
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	76	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.22	-2	-3	1	16.6	13.7	2.90	15.3	14.7	0.62
Glenn Robinson	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-6	7	15.6	18.5	-2.84	15.6	13.2	2.36
Dan Dickau	26	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	1	-7	17.2	15.7	1.54	13.2	16.0	-2.77
Alan Henderson	37	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	5	-15	16.6	15.8	0.80	13.7	16.3	-2.58
Corey Benjamin	27	26	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	10	-25	16.3	16.0	0.24	12.7	16.2	-3.52

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	66	67	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-12	29	14.7	16.5	-1.79	16.2	15.7	0.56
Clar. Weatherspoon	54	54	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-1	7	14.4	16.3	-1.87	16.6	15.4	1.13
Charlie Ward	46	46	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	0	5	14.7	15.8	-1.09	16.6	15.5	1.09
Michael Doleac	19	19	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-7	19	14.9	15.3	-0.41	19.1	15.3	3.80
Shandon Anderson	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	7	-9	15.8	14.7	1.06	16.4	15.8	0.62
Kurt Thomas	63	64	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	4	-3	15.2	15.2	-0.04	15.4	17.6	-2.13
Latrell Sprewell	74	74	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	10	-15	15.3	14.7	0.62	15.8	17.4	-1.69
Howard Eisley	46	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	5	-5	15.8	14.7	1.09	15.5	16.6	-1.09
Othella Harrington	39	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	16.0	14.6	1.36	15.3	16.7	-1.35
Lee Nailon	9	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	10	-15	17.2	15.0	2.22	14.7	16.2	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
HOU 86, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
CLE 97, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.4%