inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 58 Excitement4.3 [948] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +9.8%
Boston Celtics 77 Comeback1.0 [1224] LVPWalter McCarty (BOS): -16.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Junior Harrington-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02550%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Mark Blount-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02839%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
John Crotty-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01340%-0.0300.00450%-0.03
Nene-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.02636%-0.012-0.03250%-0.01
Rodney White-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.001150%0.024-0.0900%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.01825%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Vincent Yarbrough-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.021024%-0.082-0.0410%-0.01
Donnell Harvey-0.140,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.001336%-0.063-0.072100%0.01
Chris Andersen-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.02-0.011023%-0.112-0.04250%-0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.19-0.000.092770%0.163-0.061090%0.01
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.030.01-0.04437%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Kedrick Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruno Sundov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.001100%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.031041%-0.032-0.03771%-0.00
J.R. Bremer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.000.001025%-0.081-0.0100%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.02-0.01819%-0.084-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.326.515.524.62.327.3120.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +28.2%
BOS +14.0%
DEN -1.4%
BOS +7.2%
BOS +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENBOSNBADENBOSNBA
this game18.616.515.570.793.9101.6
season15.715.690.499.3
opponent15.515.399.999.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN22.216.317.618.818.6
BOS15.715.716.718.116.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili36360.04-0.540.580.040-191917.319.6-2.2616.916.30.61
John Crotty3130-0.00-0.500.49-0.248-273518.718.50.1717.516.01.55
Ryan Bowen1211-0.06-0.440.37-0.060-191910.520.0-9.4616.216.6-0.42
Mark Blount3937-0.12-0.380.25-0.120-191918.019.1-1.1416.716.40.28
Rodney White3333-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-161318.418.7-0.2515.717.1-1.48
Chris Andersen4849-0.37-0.13-0.240.13-17-2-1518.518.6-0.1316.816.20.51
Donnell Harvey3233-0.38-0.12-0.250.01-13-6-722.416.16.3416.916.30.60
Vincent Yarbrough5555-0.47-0.03-0.430.21-234-2718.618.40.1917.115.51.59
Junior Harrington5152-0.50-0.00-0.490.30-278-3518.518.7-0.1716.017.5-1.55
Nene7374-0.510.01-0.510.08-201-2119.213.45.7616.121.0-4.93

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce71700.500.000.50-0.0920-12116.219.0-2.8319.015.93.11
Eric Williams57580.490.010.49-0.1522-32517.015.61.4218.618.40.22
Walter McCarty64620.480.020.46-0.1120-12116.516.9-0.4418.917.71.15
Tony Battie43410.350.150.21-0.091541116.716.40.3620.316.83.54
Shammond Williams31290.240.26-0.010.01811-315.817.0-1.1416.919.5-2.54
Grant Long27280.240.26-0.03-0.06109115.916.9-0.9317.619.1-1.41
J.R. Bremer47490.150.35-0.19-0.05712-517.715.02.7518.219.1-0.92
Vin Baker24240.110.39-0.270.03316-1315.517.0-1.4219.718.11.66
Tony Delk10100.080.42-0.34-0.01316-1316.116.6-0.5120.718.32.42
Kedrick Brown2728-0.050.55-0.610.18-827-3516.216.7-0.4917.719.0-1.36
Bruno Sundov911-0.100.60-0.700.04-524-2919.016.22.7513.319.4-6.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 87, MEM 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.95,195.4%
HOU 83, UTA 1040.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
DET 83, BOS 1030.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.0%