NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	81		Excitement	5.0 [795]		MVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): +8.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Comeback	1.5 [1142]		LVP	Art Long (TOR): -12.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.09	15	65%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	14	43%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	0.01	-0.07	0.04	11	54%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	4	21%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.08
Art Long	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	11	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	19	47%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	6	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.02
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	9	56%	0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	30.0	16.8	25.1	1.8	30.2	127.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +25.1%

MIN +10.9%

MIN +3.7%

MIN +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIN	NBA	TOR	MIN	NBA
this game	17.2	15.0	15.5	91.0	98.9	101.6
season	16.2	14.9		98.8	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.3		102.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.9	19.4	19.1	13.7	17.2
MIN	15.8	14.9	13.6	15.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	53	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-19	30	15.9	19.1	-3.27	15.5	14.2	1.31
Lindsey Hunter	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-2	-4	18.6	16.7	1.87	16.6	14.5	2.05
Jerome Williams	69	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-11	14	16.2	20.5	-4.27	15.0	15.0	0.00
Jelani McCoy	37	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	2	-12	18.2	16.5	1.75	16.0	14.3	1.69
Voshon Lenard	52	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-13	18	16.6	18.1	-1.48	13.9	16.7	-2.78
Antonio Davis	78	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-7	6	17.1	18.2	-1.13	14.6	17.5	-2.90
Art Long	20	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	5	-18	21.0	16.1	4.91	16.1	14.7	1.33
Rafer Alston	36	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	11	-30	19.1	15.9	3.27	14.2	15.5	-1.31
Morris Peterson	79	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	2	-12	16.7	20.7	-3.95	15.0	15.2	-0.22

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	50	50	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-4	16	15.1	14.8	0.27	16.8	17.7	-0.94
Anthony Peeler	48	45	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-12	32	15.3	14.6	0.67	18.2	16.2	1.95
Gary Trent	31	29	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-7	22	16.3	14.3	1.92	18.1	16.8	1.30
Wally Szczerbiak	50	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	9	-10	14.1	16.2	-2.11	16.6	17.9	-1.26
Marc Jackson	28	27	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.13	16	-8	24	17.2	14.0	3.21	19.5	16.2	3.34
Rasho Nesterovic	57	59	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.46	-9	17	-26	14.5	15.9	-1.39	16.0	19.5	-3.53
Kevin Garnett	73	73	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	5	-2	15.2	14.2	0.94	16.8	19.1	-2.36
Joe Smith	29	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	6	-4	14.8	15.1	-0.31	18.5	16.5	2.08
Kendall Gill	44	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.35	-14	22	-36	13.9	16.0	-2.09	16.2	18.2	-2.00
Rod Strickland	40	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	12	-16	14.8	15.1	-0.27	17.7	16.8	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
GSW 79, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
GSW 84, SEA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%